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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Weaker wave and primary. Dont want to be that guy but signs of shearing evident.
  2. We know how this will end (see the 1/28 system at 144 hrs out). Like watching the same thing. Deja vu
  3. Damn, New England ìs going to get annihilated this run. This is their storm to lose imo. But when they r in the bullseye 6 days out it usually doesn't trend worse for them does it?
  4. So the ukie comes along and says I will provide cold air to the tune of below zero just to our north. Model mayhem.
  5. This will have to thread the needle with that being said. The NAO was the only saving grace keeping us from being a wall to wall torch all winter. With the lack of true arctic air in our source region, we are asking for an absolute perfectly timed situation. Unless the entire H5 look decides to change and go Euro on it where it blows up, stall, and manufactures its own cold air. Cause that always seems to work out well also
  6. I've said before, its the third one in the wave train that is always the one to watch. Unwritten rule since the eastern days. Im not in until 72 hrs prior.
  7. Alright you're driving the train on this one. I already have a 90% feeling we know how this will play out.
  8. Marginally colder but in this type of situation a degree or two could make a big difference. Im not seeing some major ice storm by any means....just thinking maybe it is being shrugged off and could come as a surprise N of the TP especially tomorrow with glazing and impacted driving conditions. Guess we will see.
  9. Not sure. We could be the dividing line in Central Bucks. 3k nam has a stronger low off the coast and slightly colder wedge.
  10. The more i look at the mesos for tomorrow, the more i get the feeling parts of the area are in for a rude awakening with freezing drizzle and light freezing rain with temps upper 20s to 30 most of the day.
  11. I dont see right now how the day 7 system doesnt undergo the same shred/shear as every other system that has taken the same trajectory all season. Its a wash, rinse, repeat thing. We all know how remainder of this season will play out....threats at days 7-10 that trend to meh most of Feb....Likely some warming days later into Feb, then things get convoluted and turn topsy turvy in March with clusters of well BN temp days and a couple of pasting snow events by mid Month. This is the new norm.
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