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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    Slightly better
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    Optimism is PSU in response to frd yesterday that there may be another window mid Feb to early March due to more SPV pummeling.
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    We need % maps and snowfall means on the eps. Wouldn't mind seeing the updated 46-day totals too. These are generally accurate.
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    Are the eps mean total snowfall maps still lots of pinks and blues thru Feb 4? Where is @Weather Will?
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    The mesos will handle the CAD better when they get in range (weenie handbook page 562 section 3 clause b)
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    Here's some lunch I made at home yesterday to get your mind off of the weather for a few minutes. Thai Red Curry Coconut Chicken over Jasmine Rice:
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    Is the clustering of strong lows near VA Beach here on the GEFS a reflection of an interted trof behind the main low? UL energy spinning up another slp? Or is there a small glimmer of hope here still with a much slower system as the tpv lobe over Lake Ontario retrogrades and dives into and phases with the system?
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    Radio show?
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    Block working the wrong way.
  10. Ralph Wiggum
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    Fringed
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    That was the original thoughts and looks from 3-4 days ago ie wintry mess for almost everyone here. It's almost laughable how guidance swings to such suppressed looks but somehow almost always without fail revert back to the original threat looks. Not over yet but nobody here should be expecting an all snow event from this. Not saying it can't happen for some spots but this was never a flush hit all-snow look. The snow zone has pretty much always been a narrow swath.
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    Ens and ops really nudged N today with the Mon-Tue system. We need the trend to stop soon and even start to recorrect. Still thinking wintry mix mess for many here, but the continued ticks N are certainly disturbing. Would help with the late week system but I'm not a fan of sacrificing a storm for the next threat.
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    Need a vomit emoji reaction
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    Closed low depicted at 96 hrs S of VA Beach trying to counter. That's new at that hour.
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    Probably worthy of its own thread
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    Do you remember the 46-day control(?) Euro snowfall map from last year? Had us over 55" and we got under 3" during the period iirc. I take these maps with a grain of salt but I agree with you and as I said several times the past 10 days, this upcoming period would at LEAST provide tracking opportunities as the best *potential* of the season thus far. So far so good.
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    We could probably use a new thread to discuss what to title the new threat thread. Save the banter thread for bs. New thread naming is serious stuff and God knows we don't have enough threads.
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    Is that a good or a concerned about downside ?
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    What causes this from continuing NE or even getting captured rather than diving ESE off of Hatteras?
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    JMA That model really likes this subforum for the run duration.
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    JMA
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    As progged verbatim, coastal areas would get a long overdue warning criteria event at the very least (amount other areas of course). Enjoy for another 12 hours we know it will change one way or the other.
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    Wish that was farther W and crawling the coast but given it is progged to keep trucking E could still pack a quick punch with those dynamics in the Mid Atlantic and near the coast.
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    Models are hinting at farther N albeit weakened primary for the Tuesday system but more importantly showing better CAD and / or cooling via precip rates East of the Apps. Not surprised given the banana high of Arctic origin pressed under the rex block to the North. Still has the look of a wintry mix/mess for a good chunk ending as snow possibly.
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