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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    I think either way we are fooked....my area, yours, and nearby. NS pass suppresses the system and is still torchy. Strung out W->E wave too warm unless in Central and N PA. Even meeting in the middle is a fail situation it seems. Need major changes and it is getting late in the game for that.
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    Isn't that a warm front ie WAA pssing thru Sunday PM with the associated weak slp in the Lakes? 700mb-2m temps suggest so anyway.
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    I want to see if the CRAS supports the changes on the 12z NAM before jumping all-in.
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    Pummeled!
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    It's the NAM at range.
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    More ridging out ahead of the system at 57 hrs. That's all I need to see and won't analyze the later NAM panels.
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    6z NAM was probably the coldest solution for this one. Expecting the future NAM to adjust. Could be and hope to be wrong but this is usually the way it goes with no CAD signature and more of a W->E moving overunning situ.
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    Im in the mostly snow zone by 5 miles, lock it up!
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    He is like the Chuck Norris of americanwx....he can make it snow just by posting maps.
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    Slightly better
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    Optimism is PSU in response to frd yesterday that there may be another window mid Feb to early March due to more SPV pummeling.
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    We need % maps and snowfall means on the eps. Wouldn't mind seeing the updated 46-day totals too. These are generally accurate.
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    Are the eps mean total snowfall maps still lots of pinks and blues thru Feb 4? Where is @Weather Will?
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    The mesos will handle the CAD better when they get in range (weenie handbook page 562 section 3 clause b)
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    Here's some lunch I made at home yesterday to get your mind off of the weather for a few minutes. Thai Red Curry Coconut Chicken over Jasmine Rice:
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    Is the clustering of strong lows near VA Beach here on the GEFS a reflection of an interted trof behind the main low? UL energy spinning up another slp? Or is there a small glimmer of hope here still with a much slower system as the tpv lobe over Lake Ontario retrogrades and dives into and phases with the system?
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    Radio show?
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    Block working the wrong way.
  19. Ralph Wiggum
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    Fringed
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    That was the original thoughts and looks from 3-4 days ago ie wintry mess for almost everyone here. It's almost laughable how guidance swings to such suppressed looks but somehow almost always without fail revert back to the original threat looks. Not over yet but nobody here should be expecting an all snow event from this. Not saying it can't happen for some spots but this was never a flush hit all-snow look. The snow zone has pretty much always been a narrow swath.
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    Ens and ops really nudged N today with the Mon-Tue system. We need the trend to stop soon and even start to recorrect. Still thinking wintry mix mess for many here, but the continued ticks N are certainly disturbing. Would help with the late week system but I'm not a fan of sacrificing a storm for the next threat.
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    Need a vomit emoji reaction
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    Closed low depicted at 96 hrs S of VA Beach trying to counter. That's new at that hour.
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    Probably worthy of its own thread
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