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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    Looks better. Stronger sw, tpv slower to pull out of central Canada, separation, more ridging thru 108.
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    RGEM 18z is a hit to start and colder.
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    Headed ESE out of WV. Follow the snow trajectory and verbatim that's a decent hit. But NAM at range and all those caveats.
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    Most of Southern part of PA was about to get NAM'd at 18z but the run ended right as it was ramping up. Setup looks like it would be all or majority snow.
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    Comical...GFS/GEFS and CMC/GEPS were lax yesterday with the late week system where the Euro/EPS were honking. Today they completely reverse roles...GFS/CMC families honking more than the Euro/EPS from yesterday while the Euro/EPS crap the bed completely. You can't make this stuff up.
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    We still have the JMA on the verge of bigger things.
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    I think with the euro upgrades in an effort to rid the Southwest bias of holding back shortwaves and energy it is notably overcompensating in the MR/LR these days and has been too fast at times with the stj coming out of the Southwest. Likely one of the many reasons the model isn't quite as reliable as it once was.
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    Try convincing your wife to buy a cabin up in Redfield NY. Mine thinks it's a weekend place...but hoping to make it a permanent residence at least for a couple of years.
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    That one could actually be the best potential of the next 3 IF things progress the way they are progged.
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    Storm 1 or 2?
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    GFS is a conveyor belt of systems thru first week of Feb+. Lots of tracking potential ahead.
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    Well, models suggest if both systems next week fail, we have Jan 31-Feb 1 storm to track. GFS doing its normal cutter thing, CMC more aggressive with the cold push and blocking. Regardless, both models are active asf and one system after the other thru first week of Feb. Plenty of chances.
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    Oh snap, near my old stomping grounds. Familiar with Secane? Used to live a block from Imperial Pizza.
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    And right on cue.....GFS, GEFS, CMC.
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    Exactly....2 completely different UA looks and still 2 solidly acceptable outcomes. This one has more going for it than most recent systems have.
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    GEFS are different in Canada but still a massive hit with some wiggle room and upside still.
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    The clustering to the N and W speaks volumes
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    GEFS aren't buying what the CMC is selling wrt the TPV lobe to the North. Totally different looks in Canada. Looking forward to the GEPS.
  19. Ralph Wiggum
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    GEFS 500mb vort mean is sweet
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    Sorry, was talking eastern shore.
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    If that NS (tpv) lobe placement is correct, just a little more southerly nudge or wobble of that Rex block and we are talking HECS+
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    8-10"? Try 10"-16"
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    I think he is in Delco
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    Road trip!!!!!
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