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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    So do you think DC is the N brick wall with this one?
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    Congrats VA. Bullseye a week out, what could possibly go wrong? (Hint: ask SC)
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    The CMC is going neg tilt. So close to getting the tpv or a piece of it to interact.
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    Trends and friends.
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    Maybe those tucked 6z GEFS slp plots around VA Beach have some legs.
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    Monster HP....noice.
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    TPV lobe boogies on out quickly this run. Looks norther.
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    GFS is suddenly the most aggressive model wrt snowfall/frozen. 4-6" here, some sleet.
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    I'm comparing the 500mb maps at hr 72 vs 6z and the ridging and energy are both ticked N sir....more notable at 78 onward. Early in the run your glance was right. Where it matters things look torched and N.
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    You should probably take a 2nd glance.
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    ICON ticked S with the heavier band of snow....just N of my area now. Still has central Bucks in 1-3" range but a good chunk of that is sleet.
  12. Ralph Wiggum
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    Man, the ICON pummels parts of the sub, DC in particular....and yet eerie silence.
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    Yep. Not about to cave yet, but the rest of 12z needs to show improvements down this way.
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    Better PNA ridging and better ridging out ahead of a better looking sw rolling out of the Rockies and in the Plains. Caveat, I'm not very smart either. If I was I would have given up this hobby years ago. Or maybe that's just a lack of common sense? Maybe both.
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    I think either way we are fooked....my area, yours, and nearby. NS pass suppresses the system and is still torchy. Strung out W->E wave too warm unless in Central and N PA. Even meeting in the middle is a fail situation it seems. Need major changes and it is getting late in the game for that.
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    Isn't that a warm front ie WAA pssing thru Sunday PM with the associated weak slp in the Lakes? 700mb-2m temps suggest so anyway.
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    I want to see if the CRAS supports the changes on the 12z NAM before jumping all-in.
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    Pummeled!
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    It's the NAM at range.
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    More ridging out ahead of the system at 57 hrs. That's all I need to see and won't analyze the later NAM panels.
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    6z NAM was probably the coldest solution for this one. Expecting the future NAM to adjust. Could be and hope to be wrong but this is usually the way it goes with no CAD signature and more of a W->E moving overunning situ.
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    Im in the mostly snow zone by 5 miles, lock it up!
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    He is like the Chuck Norris of americanwx....he can make it snow just by posting maps.
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    Slightly better
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