Ralph Wiggum
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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum
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CRAS went South and is a better setup for this sub. And no, this isn't a joke post. Odd since the CRAS is usually all amped up....would have expected the primary holding on forever. Not so.
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Really sorry about that. Swore it was a B, but learn something new everyday.
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It is challenging for sure. We have 540 or so residents and you can't possibly satisfy every one with every meal. No matter how good 539 people say their meal is, always 1 finds something wrong. Sorry about off-topic. Back to wx....
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Good to know. I had injection site soreness from shot 1. Expecting nothing worse with this one...hopefully.
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I am the Lizard King...I can do anything. Google it if you don't know
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Worst I heard were snakes come out your pee hole and worms come out your eyes. Heard one guy had lights shining out of his ears. I will keep u posted
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Yes. Chef at longterm healthcare facility
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Really? Upper air was same exact setup. It is actually number 2 on storm analogs for this coming system.
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The UKIE has been the flip floppiest of all the models. Go back and look for yourself last 48 hrs. Every run has been considerably different and not by a little either.
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UKMET, ICON, NAVGEM, and JMA should be allowed in the same thread with the big boys which are all honking loudly.
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Windshield wiper effect....it might tick S a few runs, then N a few. Bottom line, the goal posts are narrowing and we are smack in the middle
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Tom Brady carted off the field with the game tied at 24 and 8 mins to play in the game
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Just came back from my 2nd covid 19 vacc shot (hooray!)....is this a side affect? Am I hallucinating or is this happening?
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Every Miller B is unique but in general you are right. Jan 96 (and there have been others) was more a hit down here, less up there. There are times it can go the other way. Definitely isn't something written in stone.
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6z eps alot better. Gotta smell the rain for the best snows. Eps is also ticking that snow max SW from NYC. Clustering over our BM spot. I think we start to see the windshield wiper effect now. Everything lining up for a SECS/MECS west of the Del River at very worst.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2020/2021 OBS Thread
Ralph Wiggum replied to Rtd208's topic in Philadelphia Region
Yooooo, FACTS!!! -
Old EE rule in effect (Euro/ETA)
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2020/2021 OBS Thread
Ralph Wiggum replied to Rtd208's topic in Philadelphia Region
Finally feels like winter and right on cue. Ok maybe not, it got can-kicked a few times but 3rd range (Jan 28-Feb 7ish) looks to be the charm. Patience pays off. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2020/2021 OBS Thread
Ralph Wiggum replied to Rtd208's topic in Philadelphia Region
Flizzard out in Blue Bell at work. 27F -
Yes. I think the broad range of possibilities is narrowing here in Central Bucks....anywhere from 4" up to 18" seems like the goalposts. That will narrow as we get closer. Right around a foot is the middle ground and if u blend the big models for this area, seems about right for now. I would sign on the dotted line for that. Who knows....maybe this is a rare time we can trend better?
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6Z EPS are really nice. Deform band hangs over SE PA. Storm tucked into the benchmark. The means is slowly drifting that snow max that some guidance has over NYC down more and more to the SW closer to parts of PA now. Snowfall mean here was around 8". Suffice to say the 'general' idea this run is a 6-12"er. We take.
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A quicker primary death is preferred yes?
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EPS looked good...just took a peek. Lost the Lancaster 993mb low from 18z so tightening up in clustering near our benchmark spot off the DelMarVa. Still curious why the subsidence zone or area with lighter total qpf amounts continue to be shown in SE PA? That has been showing up consistently for the past 36 hrs of runs. Dry slot?? Or some other atmospheric divergence thingy going on as the storm occludes?
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This will happen with a block moving out. Suppression was never a concern imo and seeing the 850 jump 150 N each of the past 3 runs and not slowing down that trend has us sweating bullets in the PHL forum. Let's all hold hands and pray for that 75 mile SE jump that PSU is begging for.
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Sounds good. Euro op in its wheelhouse right now. When do you feel it is wise to start putting more weight in the op and phase out the ens for forecasting this one?
