Ralph Wiggum
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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum
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RGEM gives us almost 0 WAA snows but is ramping up the coastal at range. One thing I am taking away from todays runs is we are losing most of the WAA stuff and starting to rely solely on the coastal track. It in essence delays the onset as well. Plenty of time but we are playing with fire wrt that trend today.
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No other model has that piece the NAM showed N of Lake Ontario that keeps the confluence and stalled system souther. ICON is getting closer and closer at H5. Almost.all frozen now for SE PA....baby steps on that piece of shiesse. Still spits out a hefty 2-4" frozen SE PA but thay is going to cave soon the more that H5 keeps trending.
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Imma crack open a 16oz PBR for this
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Reads like Tip or HM....perhaps even a Bob Chill....hmmmm
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I will say it....I can see this sub and Philly sub both sharing in the jackpot zone with NYC fringed slightly and the N New England crew smoking cirrus. Would love to score together here my Southern friends!
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Could this be a rare miller b where New England is smoking cirrus while the DC crew is getting cold smoked??
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Where is the DGEX when you need it?
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Probably. But something to watch. If that piece keeps showing up stronger and keeps affecting the confluence, it will eventually have negative implications. But alas tis the NAM at range (skims the weenie handbook furiously to find...page 871 chapter 69 section 7 clause f)
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Key piece N of Lake Ontario is trending stronger and diving S if not.slightly W of South pressing on the confluence and moving things S.
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Watch this piece in future runs...if something screws this up that will be the piece. It is diving S and causes the confluence to not only tighten up but nudge S this run.
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Notable changes N of Lake Ontario on the NAM which presses the confluence and entire structure to the South.
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Yep, nothing etched in stone and alot of it is going to come down to WAA thump, pivot snows, and deformation banding. CMC and Euro ops are hellbent on those 3 factors being rather close to or right over the region.
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I dont see a trend. Windshield wiper effect with us smack dab in the middle.
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Precip will ramp up closer we get. Usually does with the.mesos
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Biggest since the invention of electricity, no doubt
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Captured and goes vertical stack at ideal time and location. 850s crash to the coast. Holy grail of runs for the area??
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Absolute beat down. 96 redux
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Destroyed. We are.in the time frame where teasing the bullseye isn't such a curse. This run is epic
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Se PA mauling. Crushed!
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Yes. Tho mid atl saying the euro caved to the ukie. You can't make this stuff up lol.
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Good news! Was tucked too close and that trend stopped Sigh of relief. Great run!
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No it isnt...develops 2ndary faster and earlier is all
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Watching the mid atl sub hug the ukie and pointing out every way under the sun why it is probably closest to verifying with the others soon to cave. They are plenty in the game for a good storm either way. Fwiw the CRAS did go South and looks UKIE-like I think I would prefer the big 3 tho over those.
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CRAS went South and is a better setup for this sub. And no, this isn't a joke post. Odd since the CRAS is usually all amped up....would have expected the primary holding on forever. Not so.
