yoda

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 415 AM EDT Sun Mar 12 2023 CTZ003-004-MAZ005-006-012-RIZ001-122115- /O.EXA.KBOX.WS.A.0005.230314T0000Z-230315T1200Z/ Tolland CT-Windham CT-Central Middlesex MA-Western Essex MA- Southern Worcester MA-Northwest Providence RI- Including the cities of Union, Vernon, Putnam, Willimantic, Framingham, Lowell, Lawrence, Milford, Worcester, Foster, and Smithfield 415 AM EDT Sun Mar 12 2023 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches possible. * WHERE...Portions of northern Connecticut, central, eastern and northeastern Massachusetts and northern Rhode Island. * WHEN...From Monday evening through Wednesday morning. * IMPACTS...Travel could be difficult. Heavy wet snow combined with gusty winds could bring down tree branches and result in power outages. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Rain is expected to change to snow on Tuesday with snow continuing into Tuesday night. Snowfall and impacts will likely vary greatly with elevation.

BOX issued watches.. nothing for Boston proper or SE MA

C VA into CHO gets 1-3 this weekend on 12z GFS and 12z CMC

00z EURO was better because the ridge out west was much taller. H5 low pass was pretty close by to us too

The WB map at 144 shoes blue over us... so I dunno

Snow at 144 looks like to me though

I feel like this is apropos

Its an increase of an inch into the i95 corridor over 12z run... but still favors i81 corridor into W MD heavily -- EPS total snowfall mean that is

993 over LI at 210

998 mb SLP just east of DC is the SLP mean for 00z EPS at 192

Still massive spread on the MSLP members map at 180 for 00z EPS

Well, as we always say, ensembles should be interesting to see shortly

This run is a N MD/I81 corridor and west special... i 95 is cold rain

Doubt that is snow at all for DC metro from 210 on... its 36 degrees lol

tbh, that CCB from 210 on is really weak

FInally gets going at 216.. but its too late for us

lol 983 in perfect spot and its raining in DC at 210... weak CCB

Changes to rain i81 corridor and east with a 980s SLP over C VA at 198

Can you go back like 12 hours? most of those SLPs would be past us for precip IMO

Been out since 429pm

There is a TW out on it with spotter confirmed tornado

Meanwhile, ice storm warnings are up for the BR and W MD for tomorrow

15% tor probs dropped. 45% hail contour introduced in TX including DFW metro

Big shift west in MOD risk looks like

Definitely was not expecting a thunderstorm