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yoda

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  1. yoda
    Can definitely see the rotation at the higher tilts near Reisterstown... not down to tilt 1 though looks like
  2. yoda
    They're not in the TW...
  3. yoda
    BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 412 PM EDT Mon Jul 18 2022 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Northeastern Carroll County in north central Maryland... Northwestern Baltimore County in northern Maryland... * Until 445 PM EDT. * At 412 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Westminster, moving northeast at 30 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown, flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur. Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Hampstead and Manchester around 425 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Lineboro, Millers and Greenmount. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. This cluster of thunderstorms is capable of producing tornadoes and widespread significant wind damage. Do not wait to see or hear the tornado. For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building.
  4. yoda
    Numerous reports of trees and wires down around and near FDK
  5. yoda
    Looks like a small bow near FDK in Maryland
  6. yoda
    I'm surprised you beat @weatherwiz to it And pretty much the entire NE is outlooked by SPC for Day 4
  7. yoda
    Seems like Monday and Thursday this week are our best severe thunderstorm chance days
  8. yoda
    Alright who seized the radar? NOUS61 KLWX 151610 FTMLWX MESSAGE DATE: JUL 15 2022 16:10 KLWX IS DOWN HARD. AZIMUTH MOTOR IS SEIZED. ESTIMATED TIME OF RESTORATION AROUND 430 PM. KJP
  9. yoda
    So Monday... .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... Low-level moisture will increase further on Monday due to persistent srly flow with showers and thunderstorms likely ahead of a cold front. Monday could potentially be one of the most active days of next week in terms of severe weather potential due to a significant trough of low pressure moving through the region. Mid-level flow is pretty decent for mid-summer standards along with strong level forcing, and abundant low-level moisture suggest a substantial risk of severe weather. Flash flooding is also possible, but relatively strong mid-level flow should keep storms moving at a fast pace. Low-level troughiness and westerly flow Tue-Wed should push deep moisture south and east of the area with areal coverage of showers and thunderstorms greatly reduced. Another decent trough is fcst next Thu, this time with a greater flooding threat due to weaker winds aloft and mid-level flow more parallel to sfc front.
  10. yoda
    If you want historical data on severe watches and SPC kind of stuff since around 2003, go here: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/archive/ https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/archive/events/
  11. yoda
    https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwatch_mpd_multi.php?md=488&yr=2022 Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0488 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 642 PM EDT Tue Jul 12 2022 Areas affected...Northern Virginia...Southern Central Maryland...District of Columbia... Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible Valid 122245Z - 130245Z SUMMARY...Very intense short-term rain rates aligning for favorable training/repeating resulting in possible localized flash flooding through late evening. DISCUSSION...Severe weather scenrio continues to unfold across the Mid-Atlantic with very strong thunderstorms and high wind gusts. This is also resulting in intense moisture convergence with these cells within a very moist and unstable environment. The mass loading into the cells have resulted in numerous reports of 1"/30 minutes with each individual cell. In the short-term, the overall speed has limited flooding concerns in all but the most prone areas, ie urban settings. However, larger scale synoptic setup has favored the cell moving across DC toward Annapolis MD in a very favorable placement to the right entrance region of the jet, but the speed max is exiting toward the northeast. Upstream across WV a secondary subtle speed max is starting to round the base of the upper trof. This has reduced the forward speed of the cold front crossing the central Applachians resulting in a weak kink or wave around W MD. As such, the outflow boundary from the initial storm as oriented favorably west to east for increased west-southwesterly flow ahead of the approaching speed max/synopic ascent. As a result oblique but sufficient isentropic ascent for additional similar but slightly less intense thunderstorms have formed generally parallel to the mean flow suggesting increased training potential across Northern VA into southern central MD. Given potential of backbuilding/training as supported by recent runs of the HRRR, an axis 2-4" totals are possible likely from Rockingham, VA toward Prince William and across into Charles county this evening. This crosses a few areas of lowered FFG due to recent heavy rainfall increasing the potential for flash flooding to occur. Gallina ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX... ATTN...RFC...MARFC...NWC...
  12. yoda
    Didn't know VA had a mesonet?
  13. yoda
    For those east of DC metro Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 633 PM EDT Tue Jul 12 2022 MDC003-009-017-033-037-122300- /O.CON.KLWX.SV.W.0260.000000T0000Z-220712T2300Z/ Anne Arundel MD-St. Marys MD-Calvert MD-Prince Georges MD-Charles MD- 633 PM EDT Tue Jul 12 2022 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN ANNE ARUNDEL...NORTHERN ST. MARYS...NORTHWESTERN CALVERT...SOUTHEASTERN PRINCE GEORGES AND NORTHEASTERN CHARLES COUNTIES... At 632 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from Londontowne to near Waldorf, moving east at 45 mph. HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. Locations impacted include... Waldorf, Bowie, Clinton, Mayo, Shady Side, Chesapeake Beach, Deale, Prince Frederick, Upper Marlboro, South River, Breezy Point, Rhode River, Parole, Kettering, Rosaryville, Marlton, Dunkirk, Saint Charles, Londontowne and Accokeek. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. This is an EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION. These storms are producing widespread wind damage across Anne Arundel and Calvert counties in Maryland. SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy structure and stay away from windows. Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms. Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature`s leading killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.
  14. yoda
    Looks like it... though LWX is still issuing SVR for most portions
  15. yoda
    Big CG strike right by my house... house just shook
  16. yoda
    Looks like maybe some more storms over next couple hours looking west on radar
  17. yoda
    Power flickered here twice
  18. yoda
    Confirmed SVR at KIAD
  19. yoda
    Hope they're all okay
  20. yoda
    Intensifying some evere Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 526 PM EDT Tue Jul 12 2022 MDC031-VAC059-061-107-153-600-610-683-685-122145- /O.CON.KLWX.SV.W.0256.000000T0000Z-220712T2145Z/ Montgomery MD-Loudoun VA-City of Fairfax VA-City of Falls Church VA- Fairfax VA-Fauquier VA-City of Manassas Park VA-Prince William VA- City of Manassas VA- 526 PM EDT Tue Jul 12 2022 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM EDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY...SOUTHEASTERN LOUDOUN...FAIRFAX...EAST CENTRAL FAUQUIER...AND CENTRAL PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTIES...THE CITY OF FAIRFAX...THE NORTHWESTERN CITY OF FALLS CHURCH...THE CITY OF MANASSAS PARK AND THE CITY OF MANASSAS... At 526 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near North Potomac to 6 miles southwest of Linton Hall, moving east at 50 mph. HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. Locations impacted include... Germantown, Centreville, Dale City, Rockville, Bethesda, Gaithersburg, Reston, Annandale, South Riding, Herndon, Fairfax, Vienna, Falls Church, Broadlands, Lansdowne, Lowes Island, Brambleton, Mantua, Pimmit Hills and Poolesville.
  21. yoda
  22. yoda
    Wow... nice shot!
  23. yoda
  24. yoda
  25. yoda
    @mappy area right? Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 511 PM EDT Tue Jul 12 2022 MDC015-025-122145- /O.CON.KLWX.SV.W.0255.000000T0000Z-220712T2145Z/ Harford MD-Cecil MD- 511 PM EDT Tue Jul 12 2022 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM EDT FOR EASTERN HARFORD AND CECIL COUNTIES... At 510 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Riverside, or near Aberdeen, moving east at 45 mph. HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and ping pong ball size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. Locations impacted include... Elkton, Aberdeen, Havre De Grace, Aberdeen Proving Ground, Calvert, Riverside, North East, Rising Sun, Perryman, Charlestown, Cecilton, Warwick, Zion, Barksdale, Bohemias Mills, West Nottingham, Octoraro, Brantwood, Fair Hill and Glen Westover. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. This is a DANGEROUS SITUATION. This storm has produced widespread wind damage across Baltimore and Harford Counties. SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy structure and stay away from windows. Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature`s leading killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. && LAT...LON 3938 7582 3936 7588 3938 7596 3937 7598 3938 7605 3952 7600 3954 7606 3949 7611 3947 7607 3945 7606 3944 7605 3937 7623 3953 7624 3970 7627 3972 7579 3938 7577 TIME...MOT...LOC 2110Z 284DEG 41KT 3947 7627 THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...1.50 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH
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