yoda

Pretty decent writeup of what is going on so far and the future of August

Rumor looks like no one won

When I was younger as a kid I loved to go on all the roller-coasters everywhere, even the super fast ones. Now that I'm an adult, I refuse to ride any lol. Even at Walt Disney World, I was gripping the bar tightly on Space Mountain and didn't want any part of Rock and Roll Roller-coaster or any ride that had your feet dangling. I'll do the teacups though.

Raining pretty good here right now... muahahahaha

Anybody else bought some MegaMillions tickets for fun tonight since it's over $1 billion?

18z GFS for next Thursday approaches 100 and is in low 100s on Friday at DCA 12z CMC for next Thursday is near 90 and probably mid 90 to upper 90s (like 97ish) for Friday at DCA 12z EURO for next Thursday is mid 90s and mid 90s for Friday at DCA Question -- why are the temps 10-15 degrees warmer in SNE compared to us on Friday on 12z EURO? I do see that 925mbT are 5 degrees warmer up there compared to down here... and 850s are 3-4 degrees Celsius warmer as well.

Storm up by Germantown looks mildly interesting

Looks like you are about to get hit

Wall cloud and funnel cloud reported 3 ESE Rockville in Hanover County at 140pm

At least it's not winter and it owes us 2 feet of snow

Welp this was a bad call Though looks like some heavier showers developing down by EZF

No thanks (h/t @forkyfork)

How much wind is needed to turn helicopters over? PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 418 PM EDT TUE JUL 26 2022 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0338 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 NNW NORFOLK NAS 36.95N 76.31W 07/26/2022 CITY OF NORFOLK VA EMERGENCY MNGR FIVE HELICOPTERS ON THEIR SIDE AND ROOF DAMAGE NEAR NORFOLK NAVAL AIR STATION. && $$ SCW/MRD

12z GFS in the mid to long range brings the heat back for several days... starting Day 8 until the end of the run... even has some 100s tossed in there. Though it has been mentioned that the GFS has been overdoing the heat, h5 heights for the time period are over 600dm... so it could be true

Raining here so i don't think so... especially looking back out in WV

Besides the isolated strong storm Tuesday to Thursday... sounds like Friday could be quite active per the afternoon LWX AFD: .LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... A strong upper level trough axis is forecast to pass over the Great Lakes region on Thursday and shift eastward into the NE US by this weekend. A surface low associated with the upper trough is forecast to remain well to the north over eastern Canada but it`s associated front is forecast to drop into our region sometime late Thursday into Friday. Ahead of the frontal passage, warm and humid conditions will lead to an increasingly unstable environment. Weak shortwave energy ahead of the frontal passage combined with the unstable environment will lead to a chance for showers and strong thunderstorms on Thursday. The better chance for more widespread strong thunderstorms will likely be on Friday when forcing from the frontal passage will combine with decent mid level shear and SFC CAPE above 1500 j/kg. If favorable shear and CAPE matches up well with the frontal passage, our region could see a busy day for severe weather.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 409 PM EDT MON JUL 25 2022 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0341 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 ENE CHARLOTTESVILLE 38.04N 78.45W 07/25/2022 ALBEMARLE VA FIRE DEPT/RESCUE DOZENS OF TREES, WIRES, AND LARGE BRANCHES BLEW DOWN JUST EAST OF CHARLOTTESVILLE IN THE PANTOPS AREA. && EVENT NUMBER LWX2204533

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 424 PM EDT MON JUL 25 2022 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0245 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 NNE LEESBURG 39.14N 77.55W 07/25/2022 LOUDOUN VA 911 CALL CENTER SEVERAL TREES BLEW DOWN AROUND LEESBURG, INCLUDING NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF US-15 JAMES MONROE HIGHWAY AND VA-740 TUTT LANE. TREES BLEW DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF VA-703 HURLEY LANE AND MOUNTAIN CREST LANE. TREES BLEW DOWN ON VA-9 CHARLES TOWN PIKE AND VA-662 CLARKES GAP ROAD. && CORRECTED REMARKS EVENT NUMBER LWX2204537

Pantops and Lake Monticello were crushed in Albemarle County into Fluvanna County... numerous wires, trees, and power poles downed

Warrenton AWOS gusted to 58kts (67mph) at 340pm - this is Warrenton Airport in Fauquier County

Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 338 PM EDT Mon Jul 25 2022 VAC003-252015- /O.CON.KLWX.SV.W.0335.000000T0000Z-220725T2015Z/ Albemarle VA- 338 PM EDT Mon Jul 25 2022 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EDT FOR EAST CENTRAL ALBEMARLE COUNTY... At 338 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Charlottesville, moving east at 20 mph. THIS IS A DESTRUCTIVE STORM FOR AREAS JUST EAST OF CHARLOTTESVILLE. HAZARD...80 mph wind gusts and ping pong ball size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Expect considerable damage to trees and power lines. Your life is at significant risk if outdoors. In addition to some trees falling into homes, wind damage is possible to roofs, sheds, open garages, and mobile homes. Locations impacted include... Charlottesville, Campbell, Cismont, Boyd Tavern, Monticello, Keswick and Shadwell. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature`s leading killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. && LAT...LON 3794 7837 3800 7848 3803 7845 3803 7846 3805 7845 3806 7845 3805 7846 3807 7845 3806 7826 TIME...MOT...LOC 1938Z 271DEG 16KT 3803 7838 THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...1.50 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...80 MPH