yoda

CHO storm has destructive tag on it in SWS Warned for ping pong ball size hail and winds to 80mph

I figure we'll get an MCD soon

I see mostly sunny skies at work this morning

That's a nasty looking h5 in lala land of the 00z GFS tonight

12am temps DCA - 85/71 IAD - 83/72 BWI - 86/73

From updated evening AFD from LWX SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/... Heat Advisory extended south/southwest to Spotsy and Orange Counties, as METEZF has 101F as a high tomorrow, and 18Z ECMWF has and area of the north central piedmont centered around Culpeper...Fauquier and Stafford Counties reaching 102F.

DCA to 41 mph

I'm seeing 94?

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 651 PM EDT Sat Jul 23 2022 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Eastern Washington County in north central Maryland... Western Frederick County in north central Maryland... Northwestern Loudoun County in northern Virginia... Central Clarke County in northwestern Virginia... Jefferson County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... East central Berkeley County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... * Until 715 PM EDT. * At 650 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Paramount-Long Meadow to near Berryville, moving east at 40 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Frederick, Hagerstown, Thurmont, Charles Town, Emmitsburg, Shepherdstown, Municipal Stadium, Purcellville, Robinwood, Brunswick, Fountainhead-Orchard Hills, Ranson, Berryville, Boonsboro, Smithsburg, Braddock Heights, Paramount-Long Meadow, Mount Aetna, Round Hill and Mount Lena. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. Large hail and damaging winds and continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms. Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature`s leading killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

There were 2 rotation markers on two parts of the line cresting the Apps on Radarscope

18z GFS pushes upper 90s tomorrow afternoon along i95... possibly reaching 100 Close to 100 again on Saturday... brings 100-105 across most of the region on Sunday

Toasty

12z GFS brings some relief in the afternoon Sunday showing storms on radar reflectivity at 21z SUN... reason being it breaches the ConvT of 102 degrees But at 18z, PW has DCA at a toasty 103 degrees

12z CMC at DCA 18z SUN is 100/70... yuck. HI around 108

Some of the zones now have highs around 100 in them for parts of the LWX CWA... and a few have heat indices approaching 110 in them as well

00z UKIE has 96 at DCA for both 18z SUN and 00z MON... so I would guess upper 90s 00z CMC has 98 at DCA for both 18z SUN and 00z MON... so I would guess it breaches 100 sometime in between those hours

00z GFS says toasty for Sunday... 105 for DCA 00z ICON has 100 to 103 along i95 from BWI to EZF

12z GFS still breaks 100 at DCA Sunday... then brings back the heat last few days of July into August 12z Euro says 101/102 at DCA for Sunday... must be a front nearby on Monday as it's low 100s at EZF but low 80s in W MD

Swing and a miss?

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Flash Flood Warning National Weather Service New York NY 424 PM EDT Mon Jul 18 2022 The National Weather Service in Upton has extended the * Flash Flood Warning for... Bergen County in northeastern New Jersey... Northern Essex County in northeastern New Jersey... Hudson County in northeastern New Jersey... Eastern Passaic County in northeastern New Jersey... * Until 530 PM EDT. * At 424 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated between 1.5 and 3 inches of rain has fallen. Flash flooding is ongoing with multiple reports of road closures in the Hackensack, Paramus, and Lodi areas. There are also reports of basement flooding. HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by heavy rain from earlier thunderstorms. SOURCE...Radar. IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor drainage and low-lying areas. * Some locations that will experience flash flooding include... Paterson, Passaic, Wayne, Bloomfield, Hackensack, Bergenfield, Paramus, Ridgewood, Lyndhurst, Rutherford, Secaucus, Ramsey, Ridgefield, Caldwell, Kearny, Englewood, Hawthorne, Oradell, Norwood and Teterboro.

Tor Warning C Baltimore County until 445pm

Tor possible on the new STW headed toward @mappy

SMW up for the Tidal Potomac for the gust front moving through producing winds over 40mph

Radar would say it's pouring where you are