yoda

Flood Watch National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 307 AM EDT Wed Aug 10 2022 VAZ025>027-029-030-503-504-507-508-WVZ505-506-101515- /O.NEW.KLWX.FA.A.0018.220810T1600Z-220811T0100Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Augusta-Rockingham-Shenandoah-Page-Warren-Western Highland-Eastern Highland-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Central Virginia Blue Ridge- Western Pendleton-Eastern Pendleton- Including the cities of Brandywine, Hightown, Woodstock, Stuarts Draft, Front Royal, Staunton, Strasburg, Wintergreen, Ruddle, Sugar Grove, Shenandoah, Monterey, Oak Flat, Luray, New Market, Riverton, Stanley, Harrisonburg, Franklin, Waynesboro, Mount Jackson, and Big Meadows 307 AM EDT Wed Aug 10 2022 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible. * WHERE...Portions of Virginia and eastern West Virginia, including the following areas: in Virginia, Augusta, Central Virginia Blue Ridge, Eastern Highland, Northern Virginia Blue Ridge, Page, Rockingham, Shenandoah, Warren and Western Highland. In eastern West Virginia, Eastern Pendleton and Western Pendleton. * WHEN...From Noon EDT today through this evening. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Showers and numerous thunderstorms are expected this afternoon into this evening. Rainfall amounts will average around 1 to 1.5 inches across the area, but locally higher amounts of 2 to 4 inches are likely and much of that may fall in a one to two hour timeframe. Heavy rain in short periods of time may cause creeks and streams to rapidly rise out of their banks along with potential flash flooding in urban areas. - Visit http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood for flood safety information.

Flood Watch National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 307 AM EDT Wed Aug 10 2022 DCZ001-MDZ011-013-014-016>018-503>506-VAZ036>040-050>057-501-502-505- 506-101515- /O.NEW.KLWX.FA.A.0018.220810T1800Z-220811T0300Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ District of Columbia-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel- Charles-St. Marys-Calvert-Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Nelson- Albemarle-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock-Orange-Culpeper-Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-Spotsylvania-King George-Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun- Including the cities of Stanardsville, Laurel, Rockville, Annapolis, Franconia, Arlington, Centreville, Germantown, Ellicott City, Baltimore, Chesapeake Beach, Montclair, North Beach, Damascus, Odenton, Dale City, Prince Frederick, Severna Park, Purcellville, St. Charles, Woodbridge, Glen Burnie, Dahlgren, Madison, Silver Spring, Falmouth, Columbia, Lexington Park, Gaithersburg, Greenbelt, Alexandria, California, Dunkirk, Lusby, Orange, College Park, Suitland-Silver Hill, Severn, Lake Ridge, Waldorf, Ashburn, Bowie, Bethesda, Reston, Culpeper, Manassas, Arnold, Herndon, McLean, Lisbon, Chantilly, Huntingtown, Fredericksburg, Lovingston, Clinton, Warrenton, Washington, Camp Springs, Falls Church, Annandale, Leesburg, Gordonsville, Turnbull, Charlottesville, Sterling, and South Gate 307 AM EDT Wed Aug 10 2022 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible. * WHERE...Portions of DC, Maryland and Virginia, including the following areas: in DC, District of Columbia. In Maryland, Anne Arundel, Calvert, Central and Southeast Howard, Central and Southeast Montgomery, Charles, Northwest Howard, Northwest Montgomery, Prince Georges, Southern Baltimore and St. Marys. In Virginia, Albemarle, Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria, Culpeper, Eastern Loudoun, Fairfax, Greene, King George, Madison, Nelson, Northern Fauquier, Orange, Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park, Rappahannock, Southern Fauquier, Spotsylvania, Stafford and Western Loudoun. * WHEN...From 2 PM EDT this afternoon through this evening. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Showers and numerous thunderstorms are expected later this afternoon through this evening. Rainfall amounts will average around 1 to 1.5 inches across the area, but locally higher amounts of 2 to 4 inches are likely and much of that may fall in a one to two hour timeframe. Heavy rain in short periods of time may cause creeks and streams to rapidly rise out of their banks along with potential flash flooding in urban areas. - Visit http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood for flood safety information.

There they are for some of us

And it fizzled to sprinkles by the time it got here lol

Love late night storms... especially hearing the booming thunder as it comes closer

FDK get smacked PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 820 PM EDT TUE AUG 09 2022 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0747 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 SW FREDERICK 39.41N 77.44W 08/09/2022 FREDERICK MD 911 CALL CENTER NUMEROUS TREES AND WIRES BLEW DOWN ON THE WEST SIDE OF FREDERICK. SEVERAL TREES AND WIRES BLEW DOWN KNOCKING OVER A COUPLE OF POLES AND CAUSING A TRANSFORMER FIRE ON HOLLYBERRY WAY. WIRES WERE REPORTED DOWN IN THE 900 BLOCK OF US-40 WEST PATRICK STREET. && EVENT NUMBER LWX2204784

trying not to @ someone who hasn't posted in a little while after that comment

get any rain?

Should be getting close to you now

Nice pic!

Lots of lightning with that line Seems like it's disappearing some too

97 BWI at 4pm

I only read the bolded

Probably in the morning update tomorrow looks like reading the afternoon AFD .SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... A slow moving cold front will impact our region Wednesday through early Thursday morning. A continued unstable environment with CAPE between 2000 and 3000 j/kg will interact with forcing provided by the frontal passage to produce scattered showers and thunderstorms on Wednesday. PW's are forecast to maximize between 2 and 2.5 inches with storm motions being relatively low. Based on the slow nature of the frontal passage along with current model trends, it seems the main storm/flooding threat will occur later in the day on Wednesday and continue into the late evenings periods. The combination of forcing from the front along with PW's around 2.3 inches and slow storm motions will lead to an increased threat for flooding on Wednesday. Although the flooding risk will be the bigger threat for Wednesday, a combination of good forcing along the front and favorable CAPE will likely mean there will be risk for strong to severe storms as well. Global and hires guidance still has some disagreements on the overall coverage/location of storms,but they all agree that there will a risk for rain rates of 2 to 3 inches per hour with storm totals above 4 inches possible. The threat for showers and thunderstorms capable of producing heavy rain will continue into the early morning periods of Thursday.

I see RLX is throwing up FFWs... so I am guessing LWX may do so later today

Run at 100?

93/73 at DCA at noon with a west wind... so I'd expect a 97/98 if no storms come through before 4pm IMO

lol Easton at 11am 91/84 HX 118 https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=lwx&issuedby=LWX&product=HRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 436 PM EDT MON AUG 08 2022 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0415 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 N BLADENSBURG 38.95N 76.92W 08/08/2022 PRINCE GEORGES MD FIRE DEPT/RESCUE PRINCE GEORGES COUNTY FIRE AND RESCUE WAS DEPLOYING BOATS TO RESCUE PEOPLE FROM HIGH WATER ALONG MD-201 KENILWORTH AVENUE BETWEEN MD-450 ANNAPOLIS ROAD AND MD-410 RIVERDALE ROAD IN RIVERDALE. SEVEN VEHICLES WERE STRANDED. POLICE HAVE CLOSED THE ROAD. && EVENT NUMBER LWX2204777

So Wednesday... I admit I was a bit caught off guard by the last sentence in this afternoons AFD A slow moving frontal boundary will approach our region late Tuesday and pass through the region on Wednesday. Shower activity will increase ahead of the boundary Tuesday evening and become more widespread on Wednesday. Debris clouds from morning convection will likely limit afternoon temperatures to the 80s but CAPE is still forecast to be between 1500 and 2500. PW`s are expected to remain elevated above 2 inches with storm motions becoming low around 5 knots later in the afternoon on Wednesday. Based on model soundings and guidance, the slowest storm motion along with the best lift will occur later in the afternoon on Wednesday and into the evening periods. The combination of high PW`s, low storm motion, CAPE above 2000 and the forcing from the front will lead to a threat for SVR weather and a bigger threat for flooding on Wednesday. The main limited factor on the SVR threat will be a lack of good shear which should prevent long lasting supercells.

92/76 HX 104 at 3pm... nice

87/78 at DCA at 2pm... toasty

How good is the NMME?

Looks like parts of DC got smoked looking at the LSRs