Jump to content

batmanbrad

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    229

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by batmanbrad

  1. batmanbrad
    noticed that the SLGT risk area for today was nudged north and east into the immediate DC metro areas on the 9AM morning outlook. Discussion still seemed kind of muted though.
  2. batmanbrad
    an occasional small rumble of thunder here and there in Gaithersburg (near Laytonsville), and lots of heavy rain. Guess I can skip the planned lawn watering today.
  3. batmanbrad
    cell developing just to the NE of Laytonsville, moving ENE, just missed me of course.
  4. batmanbrad
    satellite loop definitely showing the fairly rapid clearing taking place ahead of the lines of storms out to the west towards Harrisonburg. Still holding out some hope for some action here in Gaithersburg if enough insolation can occur to destabilize us more.
  5. batmanbrad
    Per vis loop, the clouds over the mountains to our west appear to be thinning out some, and further west, most of West Virginia looks quite cleared out.
  6. batmanbrad
    Still coming down decently here in the Gaithersburg/Montgomery Village/Laytonsville area... thought it would stop earlier but those waves keep coming up from the south, seeming like some backbuilding of sorts going on. Will eventually move out but for now persistence rules.
  7. batmanbrad
    wow, rather substantial size for this watch box: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0159.html
  8. batmanbrad
    My phone just gave me a notification of a severe thunderstorm watch being issues for much of the area... this following the meso discussion issued about 1/2 hour ago.
  9. batmanbrad
    or maybe for guessing how much earlier than normal the cherry trees will be in full bloom?
  10. batmanbrad
    oh yes we are. It's just that we're getting 1-2... snowflakes
  11. batmanbrad
    I'm sure Cantore is already trying to figure out where the best thundersnow chances are... or maybe he'll just go out to Nags Head think there'll be a late 'cane around there next week and get caught in a snowstorm instead that will miss our area and dump down that way.
  12. batmanbrad
    Is it coincidence (or not) that you mention "hopefully this time we score" and "the Pamela Anderson bust" in the same message? Speaking of DT, his latest Twitter posts feature a lot of WOOFing over the 12/23 threat...
  13. batmanbrad
    So from this map, instead of the DC Snow Hole, we have the FairfaxCo/MoCo/HoCo/Baltimore ZR Hole!
  14. batmanbrad
    yes, if I'm in the Tampa/Clearwater/St Pete area I'm not liking this run, if it jogs slightly more east that area will be in the worst area (RFQ) of the cane.
  15. batmanbrad
    the short trip over the western part of Cuba certainly had little negative affect on the system, not a good sign for wherever in the Gulf it heads for.
  16. batmanbrad
    looking at Pivotal, on the Euro hi-res, system at 00Z on 9/27 is already 12mb stronger compared with the same timeframe on the 0Z run (990mb vs. 1002mb) edit: also moving faster than the 00Z run, approaching the western tip of Cuba already as of 9/27 06Z on the latest euro hires run.
  17. batmanbrad
    so what are the odds of a pity MD (a MD for Md., ha!) in the next hour or so?
  18. batmanbrad
    looks like a little bit of training cell stuff setting up WSW to ENE heading in the general direction of MoCo, not sure if it will maintain itself, but if it fills in/enhances, the flood threat could develop.
  19. batmanbrad
    yeah sitting here near Laytonsville wondering what the storms near Poolesville heading for the Germantown area are going to do when they intersect those outflow boundaries nearby.
  20. batmanbrad
    Looks like that southward-moving outflow boundary generated by the earlier storms north o f I-70 has or is about to reach me here in the area between Gaithersburg/Montgomery Village and Laytonsville, per COD radar loop. Wondering like others whether the approaching storm line from the west will have a chance to interact with it.
  21. batmanbrad
    Yes, Andy "Woody!" Woodcock, he was a trip. I occasionally go to other WFO's to check out their AFD's - some can get very wordy/technical, I especially remember the Taunton (now Boston/Norton) office when there would be a coastal storm in winter or a tropical system in summer, the discussion was a bit like "War and Peace"!
  22. batmanbrad
    According to https://www.allacronyms.com/ARI/weather_forecast ARI stands for Accelerated Research Institute
  23. batmanbrad
    WPC just placed a tiny bullseye of moderate risk for excessive rainfall right over the DC metro area: ...Ohio Valley, Central Appalachians, Mid-Atlantic 1930 UTC Update -- Per collaboration with WFO LWX, have hoisted a Moderate Risk area over parts of the Balt-Wash area for more widespread convection later tonight and into tomorrow morning (early portion of the Day 2 ERO period). There continues to be a multi-model heavy rainfall signal, especially from the CAMs, though the 18Z HRRR has broken a bit from the consensus by now showing the max QPF footprint a little farther south into Southern MD and the Northern Neck of VA. Will continue to keep an eye on observational and mesoanalysis trends this evening; for now have aligned the Moderate Risk area up with the general multi-model consensus, which also incorporates the more elevated 1 and 3 hour QPF exceedance probabilities per the 12Z HREF.
  24. batmanbrad
    fairly heavy rain and occasional lightning/thunder here in Gaithersburg (east side, just west of Laytonsville). Definitely looks like some of this recent development here in mid county could be due to interactions with some of those outflow boundaries that dropped south from the earlier storms near Frederick/I-70.
  25. batmanbrad
    I'm up here near Laytonsville and I can hear rumbles of thunder - distant/faint, but I hear them nonetheless. Don't see anything close on radar, can those actually be from that cell downcounty? Seems like a rather large distance between it and me.
×
×
  • Create New...