Look how far west it's closed off at 500 mb, if you extrapolate that it probably ends up really far west. Even compared to the GFS and Euro is significantly further west.
This is driving me crazy, I distinctly remember everyone arguing if double barrel lows could happen or it's convective feedback. In the end it was one strong consolidated low well west of what models initially had.
I hope the clouds don't roll in till another few hours so we can radiate a bit with the low dew points we have. Not that temperatures are a concern, but the colder the better.