mob1
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Everything posted by mob1
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That's due east of the center, first recon flight will make a true NE to SW pass soon.
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12Z Euro has it coming in near Crystal Springs. This thing really hauls once it clears the Yucatan, which might limit its potential.
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Went from almost nothing to this is a few runs
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Recon finding extrapolated pressure of 997mb or so. Some hurricane models have it passing fairly close to Bermuda.
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There are some incredibly heavy training cells not too far to their west. They're slowly making their way eastward so LV will likely miss the worst of it, but areas to their immediate northwest might still see some prolific flooding. Red Rock Canyon national park is going to take it on the chin.
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Lots of training cells over Death Valley and areas west of Las Vegas, flooding could be pretty bad there.
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Some models have it affecting either the far eastern US (Nantucket or eastern Maine) or the Canadian maritimes. Euro in general has a lot of traffic in the entire basin.
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First one just went up north of LA.
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This area has seen incredible training of cells, as Hilary moves northward it should give parts of SW CA a lot of rain. A big chunk of death valley has seen moderate rain all morning, and it doesn't take all that much to get flooding there. I wouldn't spike the ball just yet.
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It's not often than you see dew points on the high 70's near the Salton See.
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18Z looks very interesting at 90 hours with a tropical storm approaching the Leeward islands.
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0.53" here. From the NYC area airports, it looks like only LGA recorded more than an inch.
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Nice little soaker here with this last batch getting me up to 1.27" for the day. It's deceptively heavy, even though it doesn't look overly impressive on radar.
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1.11" for the day (and counting) between this morning's rain and the weakening line just now. Nothing exciting in terms of severe obviously, which has been the theme all summer here.
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Is that for Sandy? Good Lord.
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Impressive couplet for this region
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Some embedded rotation in the line, though the environment ahead of it is somewhat worked over.
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It'll be hard for the line to miss the city at this point
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NAM (both regular and hi res) have another soaker tomorrow for the city (though aerial coverage isn't as extensive as today).
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Just crossed an inch with some pretty heavy rain about to move in. Hopefully the line from New Brunswick to Trenton beefs up again, it really shrunk in aerial coverage.
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For the city proper, it looks like Brooklyn will be the big winner for now. Cells keep developing to their SW and training over the same area.
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0.73" so far and looks like some small training cells setting up for the eastern part of SI and western part of Brooklyn.
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Quick .33" here, had some rain overnight as well. Still relatively dry here overall, less than 4 inches since June 1st.
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2023 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
mob1 replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Pretty strong signature between Oak Park and the city proper. -
2023 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
mob1 replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Cancel your renters insurance
