mob1
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Everything posted by mob1
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That's an absurd 24 hour pressure drop from 48-72. I have to find a Canadian weather forum from that area
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The super high resolution of this model does wanky stuff like this all the time, it's obviously not real.
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NAM going back to a much stronger low (which isn't surprising as it was the weakest model at 12Z by far).
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The low slipping east and not getting vertically stacked also tempers the upslope aspect quite a bit.
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It's really not a big deal anymore, we're sacrificing a really fun dynamic system so Boston can get s slushy inch of snow (and yes, we totally control the outcome). I'll be in VT most of next week so I hope models trend back a bit to a more dynamic system with a bit more QPF.
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While the east trend is nice, it's partly because the flow is very fast so the storm starts amplifying further NE than originally forecasted. Since the storm is riding a frontal boundary, this delay allows the boundary to slip a bit east a potentially give part of the area some snow. The issue with that is that we're sacrificing a much more exciting storm for some wet snow that might not even accumulate in most areas. I'd personally rather get a 960 mb low over NH that gives us 60 mph gusts and severe weather than this. This strung out low (relative to what it showed) also means that the areas that will see all snow will likely get a lot less. I guess I'm a sucker for a dynamic bomb, regardless of how it impacts the weather for my backyard.
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Whatever...
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March 2022 Obs/Disc: In Like a Lamb, Out Like a Butterfly
mob1 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
It's nice to see some models showing this. I was afraid of an all-out rainstorm for VT (which might still happen). I will likely be at Killington on Sunday but will change it to Whiteface if it trends NW. -
March 2022 Obs/Disc: In Like a Lamb, Out Like a Butterfly
mob1 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
I'll be at Killington this weekend, I hope at least part of the storm is snow there. Any small shift west and it's yet another blinding rainstorm for all of ski fountry