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mob1

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Everything posted by mob1

  1. mob1
    Euro is insane for us
  2. mob1
    Holds back way too much energy, you'll never get the flow to buckle like that. It's a bad look verbatim, but there's an eternity left for improvements.
  3. mob1
    The date is from last night
  4. mob1
    A note of caution about the ICON, it shows anything with below freezing surface temperatures as snow (and vice versa) so it wouldn't show sleet or ice.
  5. mob1
    Southern vort is MUCH further southeast
  6. mob1
    At H5, it's closed over the western Carolinas vs northern GA in its last run.
  7. mob1
    06Z Euro looks a bit better, has snow at hour 90 for SC and everything looks a touch east. It's hard to extrapolate from there as many models look good at that point and then take a sharp turn N or NW. We'll see what the EPS does.
  8. mob1
    Could be worse
  9. mob1
  10. mob1
    Pretty ugly run, hopefully tomorrow brings better trends.
  11. mob1
    There are many individual members that are near the benchmark. As a mean, it's almost comically different than the OP, it's unusual to such a large difference.
  12. mob1
    The irony is that models usually do the opposite when we want an offshore storm to move West, they chase the convection to the east and collapse the best dynamics there.
  13. mob1
    Canadian, moves even further NW from there
  14. mob1
    Because hope springs eternal
  15. mob1
    Yep, ends up in central PA.
  16. mob1
    It's running correctly now. There was some issue with it this morning.
  17. mob1
    Man, the storm goes really far west on the GFS. Just refuses to budge. Still a nice front end thump.
  18. mob1
  19. mob1
    It's soooo much colder for DC
  20. mob1
  21. mob1
    It's out on StormVista and you'll like the end result, moved east by a fair bit.
  22. mob1
    It ends up looking REALLY good for this area (especially just west of DC), definitely shifted east.
  23. mob1
    You're not comparing the same time frame. I'm talking about the NAM at the end of it's run vs the GFS and Euro at the same time (12Z Sunday). I wasn't being combative, I was replying to a specific post that showed that.
  24. mob1
    It isn't, but like you said it's the NAM at 84 hours. Hope you guys get clobbered, just saying what it shows. To perhaps level the playing field, it has the 250 mb jet further south and in a better position. It's closed off a full state west (though it's probably too agressive in that regard)
  25. mob1
    The heaviest. Winds at least look exciting. Good luck guys.
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