wxsniss
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Everything posted by wxsniss
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Take a 3peat tonight to the bank?
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Look at Feb 9 0z HREF… 3z/4z RAP and 3z/4z HRRR, that’s go-time guidance… even short term mesos failed horribly here in handling dry air, had it snowing in east at least through 7am
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Brookline: Great snowgrowth and heaviest rates of season, has to be at least 1”/hr RAP HRRR HREF look good esp NOP and NEMA
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Warnings up This degree of model consensus seems so rare lately
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Been a while since we've had a no-drama significant storm... Regionwide 6-10" would probably accurately cover almost everyone outside Cape/southcoast
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Just saw this from Box, sorry if posted earlier... Are they relying on ratios for such widespread 8-12"? Solid event incoming for a change... most guidance supports widespread 4-8", maybe some spots 8"+
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Actually decent 4-day-lead consensus EC / GFS / CMC for once
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Healthier SWFE and that fledgling CCB keeps improving Widespread warning snows, would be SNE's largest storm of season so far
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https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/at00sqr6q8/dyfi/intensity
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Earthquake? definite shaking in Fenway area
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Wow... KBTR 211653Z AUTO 02010G19KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG VV004 M03/M06 A3063 RMK AO2 SLP370 P0010 T10331056 RVRNO
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Beautiful night (photos below before deform band came through...) Looks like a beautiful white against bluebird sky now.... rushing to get kids out to sled, rare opportunity with no school or official work day! Congrats to South Shore folks who badly needed this. Looks like Boston reports made it to 5-5.5". We nickel our way back to yore, still a long way but we'll take it!
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Happy for the South Shore folks, spreading the season wins Be careful out there, it's slippery AF, flash frozen layer underneath I'll make another measurement around 12-1am
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2.1" at 10:15pm Beautiful winter scene outside, heavy snow... baby steps back to yore
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Increasingly confident of 5"+ for Boston metro 33F, roads covered completely, should see 1"+/hr rates next 3 hours
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34F (down 5F in 30 min) We're beating the 8pm mark for good snowgrowth and accumulation Looking upstream, if 850 fronto is any prognostic, Boston metro into northeast MA will crank 9-11pm
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35F, moderate snow (Coolidge Corner Brookline) Roads starting to whiten Temp dropped 4F in ~20 min
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37F, snow Ground whitening, that was quick! KOKX / KDIX radar not anemic
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Rain -> White rain in Coolidge Corner Brookline 39F Let's see how quickly we can drop... per HREF ≥1" /hr rates across eastern MA 8-11pm
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somehow this post was even more true the following night 0z Euro seems an outlier relative to NAM/GFS / AIFS... not even consistent with it's own 12z run
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Watches just extended to Suffolk, Norfolk counties for 4-8”
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Was leaning 70/30 GFS/Euro for days, the JV models produce a lot of noise Expecting Watches into Boston by tonight if Euro/GFS hold
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Enough support for watches to be extended east at this point
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Almost identical to 12z GFS
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Box (and neighboring offices) seem to be favoring GFS/Canadian blend:
