Yeah I hear you. I'd say more smeared southeast than too early LBSW
Maybe ensembles last night were a flash in the pan and we'll see the block dominate going forward.
Still very possible to get a better outcome, e.g. if shortwave comes in stronger
In any case, I'm just hoping to see my first flakes lol...
Similar to your outlook, I'm keeping my higher expectations for more favorable PNA hopefully late December into January