wxsniss

As usual, model extremes were wrong... not a shutout like AI-GFS had for days, not a 3-day washout like EC / ens had a few days ago... converging towards a 1.5 of 3 days dry: completely dry Saturday (probably copy of today cloudy highs to 60s) worst day Sunday Monday looks dry 2nd half... Only reason I'm scrutinizing is a family event on Charles Saturday evening so thankful it looks dry

High stakes weekend... EPS/GEFS and EC are wettest models, but if anything maybe ticking drier AI-GFS/EC and GFS driest... 12z AI-GFS still a shutout until late Monday, but ticking less suppressed

Hope so. AI-GFS complete shutout vs. Euro is wet most of Sat night-Monday Box had been riding NBM, 50%+ chance showers all weekend...

Surprised by that number. Was about 3 min torrential and occasional pulses of horizontal windswept white curtains of rain, cars slowed down with hazards on, minor transient street flooding… decent but nothing photo-worthy. Didn’t see any tree damage.

Let's see if we warn inside 128 Hearing some rumbles near Fenway

Have an event on the Charles River near Boston Saturday evening... AI-GFS/ECs for a few days now have led the way keeping the ~1035 high in place east of us and suppressing precipitation southwest of SNE... hope it's correct!

KBOS 170554Z 19029G54KT 62mph

At least for inside 128, not feeling a surprise >3" snow: DPs: Still an 850 tongue on 0z NAM 6z: Station: KBOS Latitude: 42.37 Longitude: -71.02 Elevation: 37.29 Press Height Temp Dewpt Dir Spd SFC 1023.6 37 0.5 0.1 51 13 M 1000.0 224 -0.8 -1.1 57 26 S 950.0 633 -1.7 -2.0 86 32 S 900.0 1065 -0.2 -0.5 87 22 M 850.0 1523 0.3 0.0 112 13 S 800.0 2009 -0.1 -0.4 147 9 S 750.0 2526 -0.4 -0.7 201 16 M 700.0 3077 -1.9 -2.3 229 25 9z: Press Height Temp Dewpt Dir Spd M 1000.0 214 -0.7 -9999.0 53 24 S 950.0 624 -0.4 -0.7 91 28 S 900.0 1057 -0.1 -0.4 96 23 M 850.0 1515 0.2 -0.1 123 13 S 800.0 2001 -0.5 -0.7 158 9 S 750.0 2517 -0.7 -1.0 239 16 M 700.0 3067 -2.2 -2.5 261 25

6z Friday on NAM: Station: KBOS Latitude: 42.37 Longitude: -71.02 Elevation: 37.36 Press Height Temp Dewpt Dir Spd SFC 1024.1 37 0.1 -0.4 51 13 M 1000.0 227 -1.0 -1.4 57 27 S 950.0 636 -2.9 -3.4 83 33 S 900.0 1066 -1.2 -1.6 96 25 M 850.0 1523 -0.0 -0.3 119 20 S 800.0 2008 -0.7 -1.0 139 20 S 750.0 2524 -1.1 -1.4 181 16 M 700.0 3073 -2.6 -3.1 219 22 S 650.0 3658 -5.1 -5.9 234 28 S 600.0 4284 -8.2 -9.2 243 35 S 550.0 4955 -11.7 -13.1 248 45 M 500.0 5679 -16.0 -17.8 251 54

Did not expect these heavy rates (admittedly didn't really pay attention to guidance on this event)... roads are almost completely white with cars crawling near Fenway, briefly has the look of a moderate snowstorm

42 dBz over Boston, all snow

Massive flakes almost like the SWFE finale Jan 26... all snow near Fenway

Pounding great dendrites occasional quarters... roads starting to whiten near Fenway

< 1/2 mile now in Boston... wish this would last CC has mix line to south shore? (further west looks down by CT/MA border)

No idea either… you might want to DM the original tweet by @weathernut27 Would be amazing to archive a searchable library of storms in this way (and something I’ve long wanted to do but never have time: archive how all the main models performed for each storm)

One of the better timelapses I've seen overlaying H5 + surface + radar, showing cyclogenesis and capture: https://x.com/WeatherNut27/status/2026280880675913988?s=20 https://twitter.com/WeatherNut27/status/2026280880675913988?s=20 (and if anyone knows, let me know how I can get these to embed)

Funny, classic New England: https://x.com/FallRiverReport/status/2026010622186442928?s=20

Yeah. Boston area was literally 40 miles from 40 inches. Benchmark track would've been a top 3 storm of all time for pike region. Like 2015-level complete-grid-shutdown no-school-for-week. As is, still easily a SNE HECS considering impacts south shore to coast.

Drone video from Scituate at peak, really impressive... no wonder 100% without power: https://twitter.com/accuweather/status/2026316284682760389?s=20 > 200k in EMA still without power on Eversource

Yeah I was sure we'd hit 18. We were close... got a little robbed with subsidence in the closing hours while adjacent south shore was a 1-2"/hr assembly line. Obviously not complaining... there were much bigger losers in this storm.

Every time. Funny how random strangers can share the same intense emotions, and conversely feel estranged from people immediately around them who don't get it. The chase, the exhilaration as the unlikely breaks our way, the thrill of the event, the sleep deprivation... then it's over and mundane reality returns. I jokingly warned my wife earlier tonight that I'm having post-storm dopamine withdrawal. Part of what keeps us coming back every year.

Some of the best snowgrowth too with that last band, maybe because winds have subsided Let's see if remnant fronto can congeal to give us another moderate+ band 20z HRRR has snow falling until 8-9pm Brookline schools closed Tuesday

Back to heavy rates in Boston with this band setting up We continue this for several hours Logan will break 18"

0100 PM Snow Logan AP 42.36N 71.01W 02/23/2026 M14.4 Inch Suffolk MA Official NWS Obs

Brookline just west of city was at least 10" at 9am... no way Logan hasn't already topped 12", and little doubt they reach 16"+ by end