wxsniss

Similar sensation to 2011… almost like an undulating floor as if a heavy bouncing truck was driving by And the fun and typical experience for these parts: going from “what the hell was that” to seeing all the breaking reports

Wow felt that! 10:28ish

I will say based on my experience in Gallatin TN 2017 (crowd of thousands in large sports fields), hearing the wave of shrieks sweep across a crowd of thousands does add to the experience. If you can get to an event and have the time for a slow exit, it can be very memorable. But yeah if not committing to an event: I'm hoping to pull over southbound I-91 or at least stage minutes from the highway. Hoping that won't be policed for the 3.5 minutes of totality and 30 min before, as I imagine many many will be doing the same.

Yeah I'm nervous about that too, but YOLO rules very much apply lol I figure adding 1.5 hours to normal drive time would make it. Obviously will also fill up on gas and stage southbound before eclipse. I was in Gallatin TN north of Nashville for 2017, easily one of the most breathtaking things I've ever seen... traffic heading back to airport wasn't that bad actually.

So helpful, really appreciate the local knowledge! And great idea to look at sunny distant hills from within totality. We'll be on a tight schedule to get back to Boston by 8pm, so I'm planning to stage on southbound direction (or just near an on-ramp) on I-91. And planning to just pull over on side of road (or even on southbound I-91) if necessary. I imagine I won't be the only one pulling over on the interstate.

Good bet given guidance at this range Jerry... northeast looks like it actually has a chance sitting east of ridge. I'll be driving somewhere with my wife. Any thoughts from anyone on this plan? I'm thinking Newport, VT... 3.5 hr drive during weekday rush hour, so we'll plan on a 6 hour drive up: Drive up 93N, onto 91N at St. Johnsbury. Stay on 91 and get car to southbound direction before eclipse and that way can immediately hit road after. At worst might even just pull over side of 91 southbound... There is an actual organized event, but I imagine it'll be impossible to enter: https://www.discovernewportvt.com/eclipse/

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/science/solar-eclipse-cloud-cover-forecast-map.html

Hits the spot. Winter and all its meteorological chases and thrills have been a reliable escape for folks here for as long as we can remember (for me, since moving here in 1993, so my expectations were warped from the start). The past 2 years? The only redeeming experience was a few hours after the CF passed through on Jan 7... first time my toddler witnessed heavy snow and he was absolutely ecstatic. Here's how it would look if we do in fact sweep the rest of the season and don't hit 4" before mid Dec 2024... depressing:

Pseudo-science. If the mayor is going to speak broadly for meteorologists, would be nice if she said something like: "This was a more difficult forecast than usual, and meteorology can be an extremely challenging science. While forecasting has improved significantly, it still has imperfections. Also we are putting the horse down."

Interesting... she's a politician and not a scientist, but I'm sure the thought crossed people's minds here too... as with lots of things here, too microscopic a sample size to say anything conclusively (and not intending to start a whole CC debate here, just relaying a reaction while the puddles are still drying): “I think it goes to show not only is our climate changing in general that we haven’t had a significant snowstorm now in more than two years, but also the predictability of the weather — every storm can change so quickly on its path, the projections, the amounts,” Wu said. https://www.boston.com/news/weather/2024/02/13/what-mayor-wu-had-to-say-about-bostons-snow-forecast-bust/?p1=hp_featurestack

Congrats to those in southeast MA right now! Feels like most areas of southern/eastern SNE have had some seasonal redemption with this storm. Boston metro a notable exception. Not even a consolation inch for this "snow emergency". The "what happened" headlines beginning, with several met thoughts here, many saying they would have made the same exact forecast given the data until Monday afternoon: https://www.boston.com/weather/weather/2024/02/13/meteorologists-react-drastic-shift-mass-snow-forecast/?p1=hp_primary

Hyannis, pounding snow right at the water... https://masswebcams.com/hyannis-harbor-webcam/

Yeah even in this 15z-21z window of best omega (inside 495 belt), there was never complete saturation ~700 and above

Changed over to mostly snow in Brookline, ok dendrites. 15z HRRR says we have maybe 2 hours to get a coat-1" lol Unreal winters continue. We had ~4 hours of magic on Jan 7. Maybe it's just me, but the disappointment stings even more when the lay public mocks the field/science (and hobby) of meteorology after such a forecasting debacle.

Box from earlier this morning, still expected snow even to Logan: 8:30 AM Update: It is apparent that snow moved in faster than all models had predicted this morning with portions of interior Connecticut well overperforming compared to previous forecasts (several reports of 7"+ have were received prior to 8 AM out of Hartford County). With temperatures above freezing in the Boston Metro area, we have yet to see a change to snow in the city as well as along the immediate coastline. Temperatures should cool over the next couple of hours allowing precip to switch to snow even at the airport in Winthrop, but delays in the changeover will impact how much snow accumulates in the city. As for timing, a changeover should occur by 16Z for any ares still experiencing rain. Dendrites are quite large with this system which will contribute to some rapid accumulations. Some observers have reported inch per hour rates over the last hour or two

Plain rain, 36/33 in Coolidge Corner Best soundings in Boston metro were 15z-21z, and best radar returns of event so far are overhead, but not even flakes mixing in. Temps look like CF wrapped around city between 128-495. 717 day record will hold. Can’t believe snow emergency and region-wide school cancellations were called so early on Monday Congrats to folks in CT

Congrats!!!! Agree radar looking better than the mesos had us thinking last evening

Great band setting up now across CT matches 700mb fronto, can see it on 6z NAM Will tick slowly northeast by 12z

6z 12kNAM qpf below, shifted ~25 miles north Decent dynamics and colder 15z-18z Near Plymouth at 18z:

Sizable tick north on 6z NAM

Yeah you might be right I'm not sure... the most intense echoes do look narrow and stationary, but surrounding echoes less so and are moving northeast. In any case, this feels like microdissecting radar hallucinations, but whether or not echoes hit a wall at ~Susquehanna county in northeast PA (HRRRs) or actually reach the northern PA-NY border (GFS) in the next 5 hours will be telling.

@NotSureWeatherpointed this out: Convection (circled below) not really on any models for Tues 6z... up against the northwest wall of dry air, and models have it dissipate as low transfers off Delmarva, but hopefully this translates at least to CT folks

Tomorrow will be 717 days and counting for KBOS ≥ 4"... if we don't end the streak before December 2024, we will be at 1000 days... completely off the charts for records since 1891.

Funny Maybe this was meant to provoke for fun, but worth saying anyway: ORH_wxman is by far one of the most knowledgeable, accurate, level-headed, and valuable posters on this forum. Perhaps you can teach people here something: what distinguishes a phasing energy from a kicker, and why in this case did the northern stream energy transition from the former to the latter on guidance?

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-OH_RV-comp_radar-24-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined