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Disc

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Disc

  1. Disc
    Insane TBSS. 72dbz to over 20kft = big hail. Fredericksburg just got whacked.
  2. Disc
    Went directly over a lumber yard just east of Centreville.
  3. Disc
    Glad you all are safe. Hoping the best for your property.
  4. Disc
    US 280 Doug Baker Blvd on https://algotraffic.com/ in Meadowbrook should almost be in the direct path. (Live traffic cam)
  5. Disc
    64 dbz debris ball.
  6. Disc
    I-65 Valleydale traffic cam showing rapidly rotating base.
  7. Disc
    Few sleet pellets mixing in with mostly ZR. Near Franconia/Telegraph in Fairfax Co. 28F
  8. Disc
  9. Disc
    I do not know their whole thinking. Their AFD will be out soon. I am off the forecast desk today and only re-posting what those in the office came up with.
  10. Disc
  11. Disc
    I generally use it in the summertime. It's good at picking up terrain induced afternoon thunderstorms, at least around here. And it's usually fairly spot on for initiation times. It also does okay with the finer details of smaller mesoscale components in a snow storm, but 6 hours out lead time, not sure who that benefits.
  12. Disc
    It drives a sfc LP to Detroit. That, and it's the long range HRRR. It will begin to become useful this time tomorrow.
  13. Disc
    Check back this afternoon. Something will be hoisted.
  14. Disc
    I agree. Very dynamic system with an intense band showing along the periphery of this system on other guidance as well. Where does it set up? Dunno yet, but someone will hit the lotto. I didn't post the two frames before these, but it pivots over the 81 corridor down here for several hours.
  15. Disc
    For the I-81 corridor yes. However, more amped means more warmth. Still think you probably end up with a heavy front-end thump too.
  16. Disc
    These speak for themselves.. Mauled.
  17. Disc
    @Buddy1987 I think you're in a fantastic spot for this. The NAM was just about perfect. We get a 700mb FGEN band pivoting over us for hours. It would be a mauling as pictured.
  18. Disc
    I've been staring at the 700mb FGEN map on TT. It just pivots over us. Sheesh.
  19. Disc
    Super! thanks! @kc4wsd @landof2rivers @Tullioz
  20. Disc
    @kc4wsd @Tullioz How much ice/freezing rain would you estimate you guys actually had? I see the photos there but hard to tell. Anyone else in Rockingham or Caswell receive freezing rain? If so, how much?
  21. Disc
    It can either go to an Advisory or a Warning. Fairly typical. It's easier to do a watch first and then break the counties down by impact when it's time to upgrade.
  22. Disc
  23. Disc
    Well this finally has my attention. Will be a fun week (or maybe not) of tracking.
  24. Disc
    Ended up with about 4". I was expecting an inch or two at most. ETA: Most models had no snow up here, but as expected, precip shield was much further north than modeled.
  25. Disc
    That band moving north in southern VA is gonna be sweet for whoever ends up underneath it.
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