November turned out to be +3 and we’re looking at a strong -nao and colder temps in December, so things are on track so far.
I would love to get a big snow in December but I’m not seeing deep cold with the aleutian ridge / -pna. If we do get a storm mid-Dec or earlier, the H5 maps over the pacific look like it might not be cold enough for an all snow event.
I think this winter will be full of surprises, though.