Terpeast
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Everything posted by Terpeast
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One small cell firing up north of me. We’ll see who the lucky ones are today through tomorrow
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Cloud cover kept temps in check at around 93-95, but seeing some clearing overhead. 98 now. IAD at 97
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DCA already at 97, IAD 95
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Not even 9am yet and it’s already 86 imby
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101 for the high today. Hottest day since I’ve returned to this area
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98.6 with a dp of 74 for a HI of 110
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97 with a HI of 109
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Low of 72, which is really warm out here 15 minutes NW of IAD
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Up to 97 now. Overperforming because of dryness
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95.5, within reach of my target of 96. DP 70, HI 103
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90 already here. Thinking 96 is within reach after yesterday’s 93
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93 for the high, a late peaker at 5 pm. Was pretty hot then, when I took my daughter to the pool again. Toasty out there. Gonna get worse tomorrow through Sunday, plus maybe Monday
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That 99 reading in far SE coastal Maine, though. I don’t think they see those kind of temps often if ever.
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91 for the high. Went swimming with my daughter. Good times
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92.3 for the high, bit of an underperformer but humidity was pretty high
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88.5/72 with a HI of 96. might hit 100 HI today with a high of 94 ish
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93 for the high (so far). Hot, but nothing out of the ordinary here
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87.6/70 at 1 pm in ashburn
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90.7 for the high
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88.5 so far, Ashburn. Yesterday’s high was 91.5 dews slow to mix out. 65
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Just going by the strength and scale of the ridge, I think 93-97 is a safe bet for DMV
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Good points. I would think that if we’re going be on the cool ENSO side of neutral, 2016-17 would be a better analog match than 2014-15 since the latter was in a +pdo regime whereas we’ve been in -pdo since the 2015-16 super nino. Despite the +1.5 rise in the PDO, still think we’ll stay negative through this year and next unless it actually breaks through into positive territory, which is remotely possible if that warm blob migrates eastward to the NA west coast.
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Honestly, out of all the neutral winters since 1999, most were pretty bad except for 2013-14. The worst ones was when we had a -pdo background state. So for the MA, I don’t think it’ll make much difference whether cold neutral or La Nina. It’ll be a warm -pdo winter either way.
