Terpeast
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Everything posted by Terpeast
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love how the ens mean hooks the 1.5+ back into the DMV. Could be another potential overperformer
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Yeah, details are up in the air, but both show a ss wave coming up into cold air nearby. That’s something we haven’t seen much of in these parts around here lately.
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Yep, I’d lean more on the mesos and even radar as its more of a nowcast situation
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Gfs ice storm and euro slider, lets split the difference
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Same
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12z gfs is less out here but given low qpf to begin with, its mainly noise. Temps may be cold enough to maintain decent ratios west of the beltway though
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Hoping I get 1.5”+ tomorrow
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Similar amounts here judging from the pic, some whitening in the shortest grass spots.
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Nailed it. Temps have not been an issue, it’s just moisture or lack there of. Hopefully that changes in the next 2-3 weeks.
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I noticed nam 3k tries to paste a couple inches out here this way. Ashburn, about 4 miles east of 15
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Acceptable. I do that.
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Euro weeklies trended much better for us in feb even! It wants to keep the good pattern going through feb until losing it around 2/23
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Back to graupel, but temp is 33 so its sticking better
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Yeah I was concerned about pac energy breaking apart the +pna and torching canada, but recent ens runs stop short of doing that and still maintain western ridging. Canada will warm up yes, but we may stay NN/BN in the east and during this window that’s all we need.
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Great shot!
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I think we can say this overperformed for the n/w suburbs
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Spoke too soon. Snowing again. May get another 0.1” to push my season total up to 3”
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12/5: 1.5” 12/14: 1.0” 1/1: 0.2” 1/17: 0.3” Total: 3.0”
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Stopped here. Calling it a 0.2” car topper and grassy dusting. Hope those to the east of me get more with that yellow band if it holds together.
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We got the snow globe in Ashburn, just jebwalked with my daughter. Good for the soul
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actual flakes coming down. Still very light
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Mostly graupel falling. Ashburn
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Looking ahead to sunday (tomorrow?) I see the 00z models trended more NW, giving us a couple inches?
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There is indeed ensemble support for jan 25-27 and again 28-30. Don’t know why some are saying otherwise. Jan 22 is the only threat that doesn’t have much support.
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Dusting. 0.1”. 37
