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Terpeast

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Terpeast

  1. Still plenty of time for another west shift to get the western burbs in the goods! (I can’t sleep…)
  2. Going to bed, y’all take the euro suite and I better wake up to a tick or two more west!
  3. Love how it backbuilds heavier precip west of 95 even after coastal capture. Don’t think I saw that on previous runs. If correct, sunday night will be fun
  4. In a colder airmass sure, but with marginal/warmish sfc temps, we need the rates to overcome the BL and accumulate. A full phase is the best way to maximize fgen further west (over us) and cool that column enough to pile up even during the day. Otherwise the first half of the storm will struggle and only when the sun sets will we begin to accumulate.
  5. Its close to a full clean phase. One noise level ass hair change away from a big time nuke
  6. This is what we need to accumulate during the day. Better rates. Weak sauce light precip won’t get us anywhere.
  7. Yet another tick west. Maybe some members capture the better surface based on improved H5. I think you and I are in for a nail biter given our location both in the beginning with temps and the back edge towards the end
  8. I know this is your thread, but maybe keep the nina talk in banter? Just for storm mode (mods, if you disagree, feel free to remove my post)
  9. And that should help pull down cold air and cool the column with heavier rates
  10. I love this map. And an extra 30 mile shift NW will be house money
  11. A good hold by the GEFS. I'd cut those snow amounts by 30% NW of 95 to account for thermals in the first half of the storm, and maybe even by half SE of the fall line unless they get crazy rates (which it looks like they might).
  12. Yeah, and at least we have the temps going for us as we're well NW of the cities/fall line. Modeled radar shows heavy precip and that could be enough to get accumulating snow during the day time if the GFS is right.
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