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Terpeast

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Terpeast

  1. Terpeast
    Haha, that’s how he rolls!
  2. Terpeast
    No I mean the thermals part. It was correct about the warm nose on Jan 25
  3. Terpeast
    Probably time to start looking at cams for thermals now though
  4. Terpeast
    High end updated from LWX (low end is 0-T of course haha)
  5. Terpeast
    I think we should be rooting for a later start time either way. Get the clouds here during the day to hold off the sun angle, and then thump overnight for best snow-maxing
  6. Terpeast
    Split them down the middle, and account for temps, perhaps 3-5" for us and 4-8"+ DC and northeast
  7. Terpeast
    Yeah the ratios probably won't be 10:1. I'd probably go with 70% of that
  8. Terpeast
    qpf/snow ticked up (or west) with 6z gefs
  9. Terpeast
    Well this is Maestro's storm, so maybe it is really happening!
  10. Terpeast
    GEFS more interaction in the mean between ns and ss out west at 30
  11. Terpeast
    I think gfs and euro camps are starting to meet in the middle. Hopefully the middle is as beefy in qpf as this
  12. Terpeast
    foot plus for dc metro, more towards the bay and delmarva (2 feet) I'd mentally cut those amounts by 20-30% considering daytime snow and temps.
  13. Terpeast
    Very nick tuck. northern Delmarva gets the goods
  14. Terpeast
    Looks maybe a few hours faster
  15. Terpeast
    Just reviewed the overnight runs, looks like mostly a hold, or at least similar to 12z yesterday. 18z was the high bar. Hoping to see more of a consensus today...
  16. Terpeast
    If it were up to me, tomorrow midday after 12z runs come in would probably be a good time to issue watches (if they’re still showing what they are now). One thing going for NWS is that this storm doesn’t happen during commute, at least until it’s over New England
  17. Terpeast
    Gefs basically a hold at 72, looks good
  18. Terpeast
    My sister is flying in the next day to visit me and my kids. So…
  19. Terpeast
    Gefs 66 neg tilt, sfc looks the same, ass hair west
  20. Terpeast
    Gefs to 60, ss vort sharper
  21. Terpeast
    0z gefs NS vort separates a bit by backing off, while southern vort amps a bit. Let’s see
  22. Terpeast
    I don’t envy their jobs right now that’s for sure
  23. Terpeast
    Not sure how others are seeing a tick east. Noise level changes in SLP position and precip shield (the extent, not amounts) has actually expanded west i’m more worried about bigger changes at h5 before storm formation
  24. Terpeast
    Definitely a different path to the promised land. It almost looked like it was gonna miss the phase and cave spectacularly, but it still somehow spun up a more miller A like coastal (or miller a/b hybrid)
  25. Terpeast
    Just need a better phase. It’s close
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