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Terpeast

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Terpeast

  1. Terpeast
    Pavement caving!
  2. Terpeast
    Lighter rates now, but temps holding at 33
  3. Terpeast
    Same!
  4. Terpeast
    My nowcast guess - based on radar, seems to be some convergence from HGR/MRB down to west of leesburg to warrenton. Maybe thinking thats where the norlun forms initially and then slowly migrates east to DC
  5. Terpeast
    To be clear, only on grassy areas and car tops. Roads nowhere near caving yet. Just need to lop off another degree
  6. Terpeast
    Down to 33! Already 1/4-1/2 inch on the ground
  7. Terpeast
    Ripping. 34. Should start to accumulate soon
  8. Terpeast
    35 and dropping. All snow. Ripping flakes. It’s game on!
  9. Terpeast
    Still not quite over me but great for KIAD
  10. Terpeast
    Fatties mixing in
  11. Terpeast
    Just saw the loop. Yes it’s a slow moving band that starts forming over me and migrates east slowly over several hours.
  12. Terpeast
    I see flakes mixing in. About 20 minutes ahead of time?
  13. Terpeast
    If this is correct (which is still an open question), someone in NW dc and alexandria is going to get pummeled
  14. Terpeast
    Still rain, but down to 36
  15. Terpeast
    I’m under yellows per radar, but rain is not that heavy. I think there is some bright banding going on up there. It’s getting close (column is starting to cool)
  16. Terpeast
    Over under 4”, those who get the norlun will be safely over
  17. Terpeast
    I don’t think the globals have value at this point when calculating how much qpf falls before/after the flip and doing the math. The CAMs already account for this, they hardly have any accumulation (0.5” or less) anywhere but the high elevs until 22-23z. Even if we lop off an inch across the board due to melting, the forecast will still verify on the middle to low end. We won’t hit the 90th percentile numbers so I think we can put that to bed, but the forecast is still very much in play.
  18. Terpeast
    Down another half degree. 37.3
  19. Terpeast
    Lost a degree in the half hour. 37.8 0.15” so far
  20. Terpeast
    I’ll see your 3 miles east and then raise you another 10 miles west. May the best hand win
  21. Terpeast
    There’s a “ridge” a mile to the west of me peaking at 475-500 ft, and I haven’t noticed any difference. But if talking about going up past the bigger hill on rt 7 west of leesburg, then yeah they’ve done better.
  22. Terpeast
    Yes please
  23. Terpeast
    That would be a narrow miss east from me
  24. Terpeast
    I’m at 350, 7 miles NW of IAD. My relatively mid elevation hasn’t hurt me before in marginal events, but this time it might
  25. Terpeast
    39/37 rain My station may actually be running a tad warm compared to neighboring pws, most are at 37 actually
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