Jump to content

Terpeast

Meteorologist
  • Posts

    6,237
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Terpeast

  1. Think we have 2-3 hours till we flip here. Line is moving north but cold is fighting back
  2. Closing in on 4”, should be able to clear that with the yellows incoming dropped slightly to 14.2
  3. If we set it to tilt 3, can better see where the sleet line actually is
  4. Yeah totally. Even with the more compactness of this dmv powder I can’t make a snowball with it to save my life. But the lake effect powder is a whole another level. Makes it much easier to clear the roads up there.
  5. If the radar is correct, maybe this heavy batch is cooling the column as psu said would happen
  6. Sleet line looks like its slow to come up. In 25 min, it seemed to move only a few miles
  7. Eyeballing around 2.5” at 14.4 degrees. Pure powder
  8. Radar looks like things will get started at around 11, an hour later than LWX but still at least 2-3 hours earlier than the CAMs. Going to sleep now, it’ll be light stuff to begin with… the best part will be early morning. Get some rest folks!
  9. Thats my bar. An hour or two extra of all snow during heavy precip before the flip is how we hit our high ends 18/-3
  10. It’s coming. Within the hour or less. anything to the N or NE of is virga
  11. Judging from radar and CC, may take another couple of hours for the column to saturate for dc metro and north.
  12. @psuhoffman I mostly went toward the cams for the usual fall line, but leaned towards the euro for well N and W. *on baby duty rn, can’t explain my reasoning in detail. Sorry
  13. Another 3 hours perhaps? Then pixie dust first hour or so, and the rates increase. At least that’s the plan…
  14. Gefs look good on this threat. Nice signal. Next event to track. (Also that clipper in between)
  15. Doubt it. I’ll go with what LWX is saying, if not an hour later. Next hrrr run may show something different
  16. Recent hrrr tries to start us earlier, but has us fighting dry air and doesn’t get us going in earnest till 7z
  17. 18z 3k nam doesn’t start precip in dc metro till 6z. LWX has us starting at 3z
×
×
  • Create New...