Terpeast
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Everything posted by Terpeast
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Hopefully someday I take my kids there and rent a snowmobile for a snowcation.
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Nam 3k thermals did well on Jan 25.
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Roughly an inch of slush. I take
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Winter Storm Threat *Technical* Discussion. No Op Run PBP or Snow maps
Terpeast replied to CAPE's topic in Mid Atlantic
If we remember the seasonals’ DJF precip anomaly forecast, it was bone dry and I was thinking “no STJ this winter then?” We’re lucky to get 8-11” frozen from a STJ wave that drove into the OHV. -
Unfor for me and my dc metro brethen I think you may be right. Still a chance for a last second overperforming surprise
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Can’t say I’m surprised. Feb-Mar usually torches during a Nina, with a few exceptions. In fact this was baked into my winter outlook.
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It hasn't snowed at all in March since I moved back here in 2022. Ok maybe some snow TV but no accums at all.
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(Source: CWG WaPo) This winter deserves high marks just for this reason alone. I know I know, frustrating tracking season and tons of teeth gnashing over near misses… but the snow/ice cover and duration of cold is impressive. With how much I have on the ground now, still 4-5”, I’m making a run for 21 days
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(Source: CWG WaPo) This winter deserves high marks just for this reason alone. I know I know, frustrating tracking season and tons of teeth gnashing over near misses… but the snow/ice cover and duration of cold is impressive.
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19” jack at Atlantic beach. It could have been us. Glass half full take - if it can happen down there, we still have our chances. Maybe not this season, but next year during an el nino we might get a hit.
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For now I’m considering 6z euro a “blip” and given thermals, the high snow accums may be a mirage. But there’s still time. We’re starting to enter the inevitable model reshuffling period (D3-5) where things can really change. Maybe for once the reshuffle goes in our favor?
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When you have Detroit and Buffalo in the mid 30s, we know we are in real trouble down here. Again, interior paste-bomb upside doesn't change.
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Based purely on gut feel… upside is a wet 2” paste job NW of 95 before flipping to rain. I’ll take the stat padder while holding out hope for a last winter gasp end of feb or early march
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Thanks to that one storm that defined the entire winter, this season has already outdid many of the winters I remember growing up here.
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Low of 9
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I think what PSU is trying to say is that the fast pattern flip in the pac takes a few days to affect the east. I know you said the time lag is 0 days, but I don’t agree. There is a limited window of time where we can still get a snowstorm before the warmup happens.
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And that’s a wrap. Back to regularly scheduled storm tracking
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Most boring superbowl I’ve ever watched. Halftime show was the most interesting part and I’m not trolling
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Sounds like I didn’t miss much. I’ve pretty much tuned out all the commercials
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The temperature part doesn’t surprise me, but the below average precip does
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Great halftime show. Helps I know a bit of spanish
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Very fragile setup, yes
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In general… the quicker we can get the storm here the better, in this situation.
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Pats have to be glad going into the half down “only” 9-0 with the way the offense has been playing. They need major halftime adjustments. Defense is playing well.
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Only first half but Pats are in trouble
