Terpeast
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Everything posted by Terpeast
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I think you’ll do better than me in eastern loudoun unless the ccb comes 20 miles west. You have better elevation (I’m a little over 300 ft) and I could get stuck between the ccb and ivt bands.
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I am too. i’ll take a 10-20 mile shift of the ccb over trying to bank on the IVT band
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So close to double digits from the ccb in eastern loudoun. Just 10 more miles please
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Definitely still in the game. The heavier daytime precip is, the better. The more precip after 5pm/sunset, the better. Hopefully both west of 95
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Yeah we’re not out of the game yet. No, we won’t jack like NJ/LI - but that’s nothing new. I grew up here watching them get 1-2’ while I get a few inches. That has happened a lot more than many on here think, perhaps due to recency bias. To me, it’s more of a reversion to the 80s/90s with adjusted for today’s climate. Maybe we revert to the 00s/10s soon. We’re starting to see BM storm tracks again, so there’s that.
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I would love to see that. But someone is gonna get Raleighed
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I’m in. Let’s do this!
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Still plenty of time for another west shift to get the western burbs in the goods! (I can’t sleep…)
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It’s not too late…
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Going to bed, y’all take the euro suite and I better wake up to a tick or two more west!
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It’s the western ridge!
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Love how it backbuilds heavier precip west of 95 even after coastal capture. Don’t think I saw that on previous runs. If correct, sunday night will be fun
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In a colder airmass sure, but with marginal/warmish sfc temps, we need the rates to overcome the BL and accumulate. A full phase is the best way to maximize fgen further west (over us) and cool that column enough to pile up even during the day. Otherwise the first half of the storm will struggle and only when the sun sets will we begin to accumulate.
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Oh!
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Good ol fashioned NAM’ing
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Its close to a full clean phase. One noise level ass hair change away from a big time nuke
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This is what we need to accumulate during the day. Better rates. Weak sauce light precip won’t get us anywhere.
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Welcome back Nor’easter’s! We missed you
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Yet another tick west. Maybe some members capture the better surface based on improved H5. I think you and I are in for a nail biter given our location both in the beginning with temps and the back edge towards the end
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I know this is your thread, but maybe keep the nina talk in banter? Just for storm mode (mods, if you disagree, feel free to remove my post)
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And that should help pull down cold air and cool the column with heavier rates
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Run it back 0z and I bet the sfc will be better
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I love this map. And an extra 30 mile shift NW will be house money
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Just need 30 miles west
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Yeah thats not half bad
