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Terpeast

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Terpeast

  1. That's a lot of members right along the coastline.
  2. Best part? We're inside a week on the best performing OP model
  3. I knew this would be an interesting day of tracking. Wasn’t sure if it would be in a good or bad way. So far so good!
  4. About the same as the GFS, with the Euro beating both
  5. It reminds me of Feb 2006, except colder
  6. CMC is a beatdown, let's hope it's onto something.
  7. CMC 135, I think its finally starting to turn the corner. Precip building in the Tenn valley
  8. CMC at 126 precip is pretty far south, but lets see if it turns the corner. Still better than the last run
  9. Heavier snows DC & S/E at hr 132, mod snow to blue ridge, still going at 135
  10. PV is more NW instead of previous run pressing further SE
  11. N/S and S/S timing more aligned, making a phase more likely. Still early.
  12. hr 87, looks like the s/w out west has more room to dig. We'll see. Early
  13. Tbf I look at 4-6 past runs to glean any meaningful trends. But if it’s jumpy, it doesn’t mean much it anything.
  14. I've been loving these 4-6" storms the past two winters, but I keep fantasizing about getting a big dump of 17", 30", or whatever big number.
  15. And there's a difference between getting a foot in your backyard while Boston gets 3 ft, and getting a foot and watching Raleigh getting 3 ft.
  16. I agree with you, Chuck. I do some of this for a living now, and when others were saying "this is the most +PNA period" I thought something wasn't right. When tracking multiple snow events for mby, I didn't see a classic +PNA much of the time. If anything, it was mostly neutral with an AK ridge with some troughing undercutting it out west.
  17. Alright going to bed, tomorrow will be a very interesting day of tracking and trend watching.
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