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Terpeast

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Terpeast

  1. 9” dc metro per NAM. i’m thinking 7” high end. 3-6” most likely
  2. Agreed. The s/w for Tue-Wed is still off the CA and Baja coast. It will enter the conus tonight or early tomorrow morning.
  3. Combine the 12k and 3k nam and we get the best of both worlds
  4. NAM shows coastal enhancement that beefed up qpf imo
  5. You’ll be fine on temps. It’s more for 66/50 and south as well as the UHIs
  6. I think the one with higher amounts is computer generated, and the other was edited by a human. But that’s just my guess. 2-5/3-6” seems reasonable considering the marginal surface temps. Someone might good banding that could add an extra inch or two. 8” max upside
  7. Could be right for the UHIs. Burbs like Ashburn and Columbia could see 1-2” otg before dark, then it’ll become easier to tack more on afterward.
  8. Fixed. It’s hard to do this on mobile lol
  9. Sorry I used the wrong snow map. Fixed it, looks even better
  10. At 63, more moisture and beefier precip shield
  11. NAM shifted north too, at least with the precip shield
  12. Not much difference in track vs recent runs of other models
  13. Just loving this board. When models trend south, we say it’s not coming back north and bail from the storm. Then the second models shift north, we say it’s gonna go all the way to PA.
  14. Pretty big shift north by the euro, or at least the northern extent. CMC has also the mix line coming up to DC and slightly north. It’s not over yet, folks.
  15. I wouldn’t attempt driving in this for sure
  16. Gefs 18z was nearly identical to 6z. Still windshield wipering a bit.
  17. We’d need that 1051 high to reinforce cold air as that low gets east, or it’ll be mix to rain for all of us. Still time
  18. Haha well more like baby icicles off my deck chairs and grill cover. They were so small and “cute” that when I showed them to my 4 year old daughter, she laughed like she saw the funniest thing
  19. 6” line bisecting DC w to e. Probably translates to 4” otg
  20. Probably best to let the CAMS figure out the thermals a bit closer in. We have a 1036 high up top
  21. Looks like the second slug idea might have legs
  22. Freezing rain. Seeing small amounts of accretion on the deck. 32
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