Terpeast
-
Posts
5,488 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Terpeast
-
6” line bisecting DC w to e. Probably translates to 4” otg
-
Probably best to let the CAMS figure out the thermals a bit closer in. We have a 1036 high up top
-
Looks like the second slug idea might have legs
-
Freezing rain. Seeing small amounts of accretion on the deck. 32
-
I agree with this.
-
12/24: 0.1” 1/3: 0.3” 1/6: 7.6” 1/11: 1.3” 1/16: 0.5” 1/19: 2.0” 2/8: 0.1” Season total: 11.9”
-
Drizzle. 34
-
Yeah, I think its gonna be somewhere in the middle, maybe probably a bit less than the middle. Will be interesting to see what the euro shows today.
-
Like I said, models seem to be converging on a 2-4/3-5er DC metro with a little more south, less north
-
I think a reasonable expectation for DC metro and surrounding burbs is half of gfs output. 2-4” areawide with 5-6” at ezf. I’d always leave the door open for a more expansive shield on the north side though. I would never count that out.
-
Looks same as 6z. Mostly noise imho
-
Deck starting to get dusted
-
Light snow/sleet
-
Its way out in fantasy range, but definitely plausible that there will be a storm around that window. The pattern, as depicted, supports it. But don’t get too excited about specific amounts
-
33/23 ashburn, cloudy
-
3-5” then mix
-
Op gfs setting up the block day 4-5 and builds the western ridge at day 9, things might start to get interesting after that.
-
They don’t always do this, but I think they did it this time for other reasons we’re probably not interested in.
-
Yep, that was the first clue of this going off the rails. I would take these data assimilation exercises seriously.
-
Yeah given the trends by all models today, I think this goose is cooked. We might get lucky with a last minute north shift, but 2-4” is probably optimistic. I want to say the gfs is trying to set something up after 156 hr tho
-
Ha, 2nd wave brings rain up north of NYC
-
First wave trended flatter, second stronger
-
Yeah, nope.
-
Second wave approaching. Can we hold the thermals?
-
Energy at h5 just isn’t digging enough. Maybe the wave after will look different.
