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Terpeast

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Terpeast

  1. Terpeast
    Glad you’re out of the hospital and feeling better.
  2. Terpeast
    Yeah, the differences between those under best banding and those in between were even more pronounced than usual in this storm due to marginal temps.
  3. Terpeast
    A lot of people were asking me about the storm when we got the WSW of 5" or more. "Is it going to snow? Are we really getting 5 inches?" Even though I was more bullish on AMWX (a bit to my detriment haha), I was much more conservative in real life saying "maybe 3 inches if that, and I don't think the roads are gonna be that bad"
  4. Terpeast
    Looks like the models were too far west with the qpf, meaning the SLP capture took a bit longer than originally thought. Those kinds of details are tough to nail down, as are meso banding structures.
  5. Terpeast
    Flurries, maybe get a dusting out of this little random band?
  6. Terpeast
    12/5: 1.5” 12/14: 1.0” 1/1: 0.2” 1/17: 0.3” 1/25: 9.5” (5.5 sn 4.0 ip) 2/6: 0.3” 2/22: 2.5” Total: 15.3”
  7. Terpeast
    I for one am happy to see the benchmark storm track alive and well. And it snowed and everything is white imby. No, we didn’t jack, but we can’t jack them all. We’ll definitely get ours sooner or later, I’m sure of it. And this nor’easter… ain’t she a beaut?! Gotta appreciate the raw power of this storm as a meteorologist.
  8. Terpeast
    Based on radar trends I think I am done with heavy rates. Light wind-blown snows should continue at least a couple hours before tapering. Not sure how much that’ll add to my 2.5” total, maybe make a run for 3”
  9. Terpeast
    Latest measurement 2.5”, with heavy compaction it’s a little over half that otg
  10. Terpeast
    Mod snow and wind is picking up. Looks like the best rates is just east of me. Things must be insane at dulles town center. At least KIAD should pad its stats!
  11. Terpeast
    Western norlun band is probably a mile to the east of me. Snowing but not heavily imby
  12. Terpeast
    I asked my wife if its still snowing and she said no (I’m on baby duty rn). Maybe she just didn’t look carefully
  13. Terpeast
    Got a split. This wasn’t modeled, no?
  14. Terpeast
    Before the flip to snow, I picked up 0.27” and now I have over 2”. Perhaps 5 degrees colder would have put me at 5”. But 2-3 degrees cooler? More blurry. Maybe 3-4” or something like that.
  15. Terpeast
    It might extend north just west of the westiminster-hanover line, but iffy
  16. Terpeast
    I think my wife might have something to say about that… but I appreciate the sentiment haha
  17. Terpeast
    Yeah i think i’m just outside of the western edge, just hoping the back building from HGR keeps me going until midnight
  18. Terpeast
    If you’re between the red lines, you’ll probably get the norlun jacks
  19. Terpeast
    That bottom pic, wow! Good shot
  20. Terpeast
    Same, 2”. Great jebwalk this afternoon!
  21. Terpeast
    This might be it?? (Light snow imby atm)
  22. Terpeast
    Have an outside chance of verifying at kuchera 3.5" on this map considering I'm already closing on 2" and the norlun hasn't formed/is just starting to form
  23. Terpeast
    1.75" and still snowing moderately
  24. Terpeast
    Hard to tell in the dusk, but still coming down. 0.5"/hr minimum.
  25. Terpeast
    So the coastal part of the storm is starting to separate from the bands over the western part of the forum. My guess this is where the norlun may set up initially and then migrate east towards DC, and then wherever it migrates to, it will jus sit for a few hours with 1-2”/hr rates. Whether it gets stuck over fdk-moco-loudoun, or moves all the way to over DC like the HRRR shows remains to be seen. FWIW, winds are still blowing from the NNE at my place, so it may start forming to the west of me
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