-
Posts
6,404 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Terpeast
-
Unfor for me and my dc metro brethen I think you may be right. Still a chance for a last second overperforming surprise
-
(Source: CWG WaPo) This winter deserves high marks just for this reason alone. I know I know, frustrating tracking season and tons of teeth gnashing over near misses… but the snow/ice cover and duration of cold is impressive. With how much I have on the ground now, still 4-5”, I’m making a run for 21 days
-
(Source: CWG WaPo) This winter deserves high marks just for this reason alone. I know I know, frustrating tracking season and tons of teeth gnashing over near misses… but the snow/ice cover and duration of cold is impressive.
-
Thanks to that one storm that defined the entire winter, this season has already outdid many of the winters I remember growing up here.
-
And that’s a wrap. Back to regularly scheduled storm tracking
-
Most boring superbowl I’ve ever watched. Halftime show was the most interesting part and I’m not trolling
-
Sounds like I didn’t miss much. I’ve pretty much tuned out all the commercials
-
Great halftime show. Helps I know a bit of spanish
-
Pats have to be glad going into the half down “only” 9-0 with the way the offense has been playing. They need major halftime adjustments. Defense is playing well.
-
Only first half but Pats are in trouble
-
I’m going with the Pats!
-
Legit question. AI EPS has been one of the best models/ensembles in terms of verification at these lead times (one week or more). However, the best practice is to check how the same model has been trending from run to run. Even though the s/w trough on the AI EPS isn’t as sharp as the original EPS, it also has trended the same way as EPS did. The AI models usually smooth things out too much so they don’t do well predicting extremes (or sharpness of trough waves one week out). So my answer would be that both AI and non-AI EPS suites showed similar results for 12z.
-
Agreed. The duration of cold and snow cover making it feel like a real classic winter as long as we just put our phones down and take it all in. I’d give it a B- at least. But based on vibes and tracking, I feel last winter was more fun.
-
Seeing the EPS mean is reassuring. The op runs can be expected to windshield wiper around the ensemble means, as they trend closer to the final solution, which we will have a better idea by Wednesday Upon closer inspection, EPS (and AI EPS) has reversed its weakening trend and re-strengthens the s/w on approach. Hudson bay high and confluence also stronger, better cold air mass. New run: Old run:
