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Terpeast

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Terpeast

  1. Hard to tell in the dusk, but still coming down. 0.5"/hr minimum.
  2. So the coastal part of the storm is starting to separate from the bands over the western part of the forum. My guess this is where the norlun may set up initially and then migrate east towards DC, and then wherever it migrates to, it will jus sit for a few hours with 1-2”/hr rates. Whether it gets stuck over fdk-moco-loudoun, or moves all the way to over DC like the HRRR shows remains to be seen. FWIW, winds are still blowing from the NNE at my place, so it may start forming to the west of me
  3. For now i think this is fgen, and I don’t quite think this is norlum just yet. Too soon to call where it’ll form
  4. I’m in Ashburn and its still coming down heavily. 1-1.5”/hr
  5. Thinking more like 1.5”/hr based on my footprints from my last jebwalk
  6. I still think its coming together. Can still see bands coming from the SE through DC, and movement on the W side from the NW. seems like convergence Not ready to call the exact norlun positioning but it seems I may benefit from it at least partially
  7. Heavy snow, ashburn. Looks like 1”/hr rates. 32.5. Everything caved, all white Under that little band moving SW, we shall see how long it lasts and how it evolves.
  8. I saw it too. It’s moving W/SW, so not sure where it will ultimately set up quite yet
  9. This is it. The first clue as to where it is forming. I do think it migrates east slowly
  10. My nowcast guess - based on radar, seems to be some convergence from HGR/MRB down to west of leesburg to warrenton. Maybe thinking thats where the norlun forms initially and then slowly migrates east to DC
  11. To be clear, only on grassy areas and car tops. Roads nowhere near caving yet. Just need to lop off another degree
  12. Down to 33! Already 1/4-1/2 inch on the ground
  13. Ripping. 34. Should start to accumulate soon
  14. 35 and dropping. All snow. Ripping flakes. It’s game on!
  15. Just saw the loop. Yes it’s a slow moving band that starts forming over me and migrates east slowly over several hours.
  16. I see flakes mixing in. About 20 minutes ahead of time?
  17. If this is correct (which is still an open question), someone in NW dc and alexandria is going to get pummeled
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