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MANDA

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Everything posted by MANDA

  1. MANDA
    Where is "here"?
  2. MANDA
    Buffalo web cams. Looks really impressive at the moment and radar says is continues for several more hours before band shifts away from downtown. https://buffalowebcam.com/
  3. MANDA
    Off topic for this sub forum but -10 in Chicago this morning.
  4. MANDA
    BUT....it has to break right. Overall pattern could deliver, I like it but timing s/w 's and phasing a week out is dicey.
  5. MANDA
    They forgot to take their meds today.
  6. MANDA
    My guess the Blizzard of 78?
  7. MANDA
    Looks to be locking in on a 1-3" event. Inland will see the most as ratio's will help a bit. Doubt immediate coast NJ / NYC on east see more than an inch. Could be a crap shoot if NYC gets to the elusive inch....we'll see how things evolve.
  8. MANDA
    Some people are just a special kind of stupid.
  9. MANDA
    Both GFS and CMC are basically showing a wave on an Arctic front. Energy too strung out. Agree with Walt and others this looks like a 1-3" event with higher than 10:1 ratios more inland locations deeper into the colder air. We'll see what EURO shows but I think we are seeing close to a final solution with GFS / CMC this morning. There will be some adjustments over the next 72 hours but the general event I think is showing some clarity this morning.
  10. MANDA
    Impressive temperature map. Coldest ob. in Canada at this hour is: -55F at Keg River, Alberta.
  11. MANDA
    Would like to experience that kind of cold, but just once.
  12. MANDA
    The AI modeling did horrible with Lee over the summer. Several consecutive runs tried to plow a major hurricane into New England. Eventually they came around to the actual outcome that most of the op models had a few days prior. Use this AI stuff with caution.
  13. MANDA
    Remarkable really and well modeled almost a week out.
  14. MANDA
    Temperatures near -50F across parts of Alberta this morning. That is First Class, Grade A cold. Something not seen every year that's for sure and certainly not in the recent past.
  15. MANDA
    I noticed Walt and was thinking same as you. Going to be some good "offsetting" cold.
  16. MANDA
    That is a know bias with the EURO so definite possibility.
  17. MANDA
    Expansive area of -30C to -40C cold across central Canada this morning. Currently -43C at Yellowknife, NWT and -46C at Old Crow,YT. Think it is safe to say the cold has moved to our side of the pole....at least for now.
  18. MANDA
    https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/pmdepd.html No matter our outcome for snow around here a notable cold shot will be affecting the central/western states and then will be moving eastward, albeit modified. Some record cold across the nations mid section and down to the Gulf Coast. Any snow cover laid down in front of it will only intensify the cold, especially overnight lows.
  19. MANDA
    That area can flood badly. Used to work weekends at ION Weather at the base of the airport tower and saw it flood several times in the early to late 90's. The area from the Cadillac dealer to Airport Road used to be impassable. Horrible detours. Usual 20 min drive would take me 60 minutes with zero traffic at 5am.
  20. MANDA
    I’m rooting for my weather app!
  21. MANDA
    This pattern better break soon. Any more of these 1-2" rains in any kind of rapid succession is going to be a big problem for rivers across our area.
  22. MANDA
    So agree. Retrograding blocks are a big wildcard and difficult for LR/MR models to get a good handle on. I think the possibilities for next Tuesday are pretty much wide open at this point. Would not expect a hint of clarity until 12Z Saturday cycle - maybe even 00Z Sunday.
  23. MANDA
    3.41" - Pump ran and did its job. Did not lose power so generator did not kick in to save the day. Pump does not run frequently here. Except for Ida rains it rarely ran in the 5 years prior. Lately has been running much more frequently.
  24. MANDA
    Rainfall 3.41" here. Winds were nothing horrendous. Estimated some max gusts to 30 mph. Was expecting a little higher. Power remained on. Ground is just saturated.
  25. MANDA
    Raining heavily here at the moment. Winds over SNJ along the Delaware Bay currently gusting to 40-50 mph.
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