MANDA
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Everything posted by MANDA
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Yep, pushes too far west and we will be left on the drier side. Latest WPC still rather wet from city west into NJ. Central L.I. on eastward not so much. Will need another day or two to see how this plays out. Seems overall though the guidance has been trending to push the wettest area to the left. Not rooting for flooding rains but I'd just like an inch or so between now and Friday night to keep things watered. I should be able to get it out this way.
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Latest from WPC. Much will depend on where the western extent of the offshore ridge sets up. Too far west and we're much drier area wide. I am riding local 5" amounts over parts of NJ at this time. L.I. has best chances of seeing only light amounts.
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Too much of a good thing. Doubt totals that heavy will be that widespread but certainly could see some local totals of 5-7" over the next 7 days. I'd be happy with an inch over the next week!
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With that logic every day that passes gets us one day closer to dead. Live for the day dude, tomorrow could be just a rumor.
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Pattern for the upcoming week looks to support a ribbon of high dewpoint air moving from Texas to the Lakes with Beryl remnants along with some locally heavy rainfall. Another swath of high dewpoint air along the east coast around very anomalous Bermuda high. That also could yield locally heavy rainfall. In between the two a relative "drier" swath over the Ohio Valley. Going to be soupy times ahead along the east coast for sure.
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Some torrential downpours at times last night and early this morning. The one this morning had loud thunder and some bright lightning flashes. Rain was torrential but was short lived. Two day total so far = .75". Just enough but not too much. Perfect! Level 10 on the swampy scale out there this morning.
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Dryloc worked great for some small seepage areas in my last house. I did first use dryloc cement on the block around and over where the water was coming in. Then used the paint over that. I did really press the cement into the block and gave it like 3 applications. Let it dry well then use paint. Worked well, never had seepage again. Worth a try before you start digging outside.
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Off topic for this sub forum but all time high temperature in RDU today of 106, beating the old record of 105. Heat index readings ranged from between 110-118 at mid-day. Localized very intense heat in the Piedmont of NC today.
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Was so nasty humid / muggy out today. Should have been a Swamp Ass Advisory in effect.
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Just .14" last night. Swampy out this morning.
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Happy 4th. to all. Weather not perfect but it would be much worse.
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That ridge - trof - ridge positioning would be interesting (if that pattern persists) as we head into August and September as far as tropical threats for the east coast. Just speculation so we'll see how it goes.
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This makes much more sense. No way did the Island of Grenada record a gust that high 30 miles or so south of the center. -
Had those in my mind when I posted. That season was amazing. Sure hope that is not the case this season.
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Wouldn't it be a hoot if Beryl turned out to be the strongest system of the 2024 season. You almost want to hope so for U.S. coastal interests. Hopefully Beryl is not a trend setter for what lies ahead for August, September and October.
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Eastern eye wall looks more fierce than western eye wall so a wild ride coming after the calm.
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Must be horrifying for anyone who remained. Direct hit with very distinct mesovortices included. With an intensifying huirricane I would not be surprised if there were some EXTREME instantaneous local gusts over 175 mph. but we will never know for sure.
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Landfall imminent next 15-30 minutes.
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Spectacular satellite presentation. https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/PSUGOES_MESO1/loop60.html
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Ended up with 1.65" rainfall yesterday. Everything nice and green again. No complaints. Refreshing out there this morning with a gusty breeze and very comfortable temps and humidity.
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Did well here. Will get official reading later on but eyeballing the gauge looks like 1.25" to 1.50". Barely a puff of wind. Just nice deluge of rain. Most of that total fell in 30-45 minutes. Some low rumbling thunder and a few bright flashes but overall it was the rainfall intensity that was most impressive. This will hold me for a week to 10 days. I'm happy.
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Just .11" here last evening and overnight. Hoping this afternoon / evening can deliver something meaningful. VERY humid and uncomfortable outside.
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Chain saws and wood chippers were going in the distance all day long. I am right by the Berkshire Valley Wildlife Preserve.
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Drought area in increasing over the Mid-Atlantic and gradually spreading northward. Feel pretty sure this will reverse over the next 1-2 months but it has been dry.
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Some pictures from this morning. It COULD have been a weak EF0 only because damage started at my corner and went up the street. Down the street just some twigs and leaves. I am also not sure if there was any damage to the neighborhood on the other side of the tree line. Damage seemed to confined to be straight line winds. Highly localized. Not sure.
