MANDA
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Everything posted by MANDA
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Had a low here of 47 this morning. Along with a light breeze it was legit light jacket for a time earlier this morning. Walpack dipped to 42.
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Wow, quite a string of warm Septembers! Great stats...thanks! I suspect we end this September above to continue the streak! We'll see.
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Low of 56 degrees here this morning with s brisk breeze and low humidity! Really nice. I know the heat is coming next week but I'll take this while it lasts.
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Pretty scary. https://twitter.com/i/status/1696958390289805663
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https://twitter.com/i/status/1696886125103608002 Cedar Key
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Interesting.
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https://twitter.com/i/status/1696857231780700670
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Before and after picture Horseshoe beach surge.
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We'll see if the extreme wind warning now in effect over the swath of FL gets extended NE into SE GA.
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I think less populated and confined to a small area. Very small core with Idalia. Not to mention rather meh eastern half. Strong winds confined to tight area on western side. No obs available on the immediate coast where landfall took place.
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Radar from Moody AFB Georgia.
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I agree, going to be bad. For sure in the top 5, especially for inland locations. Fast, or at least brisk forward motion over rather flat/marshy terrain at landfall will blunt dramatic reduction in the wind field for a while and it will tend to spread out.
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Sorry, you are right. Not as much as Tallahassee suggested anyway. Not as open but still much less impressive than western semicircle. It has pretty much been that way at least off and on for the last 12 hours.
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Such an odd radar presentation. Completely open on southeast side. That western and northwestern side is a beast. Perry going to take a hard hit over the next 2 hours. Hope the poster from Perry can stay with us for details as long as power / cell towers hold up.
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Yep, would expect an update from TPC very soon. Inland wind damage in a narrow swath is going to be severe. I guess we just witnessed history. First ever major in recorded history to enter Appalachee Bay.
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Looking good!
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Recon reports show Idalia is moving a little east of due north now. Last advisory was due north (360) we'll see what 8pm and 11 pm show but IMO by 11:00 advisory should be on at least a 10 degree heading. I think recon is picking up on the expected turn to the NNE by tomorrow morning.
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Maximum surge will be basically be coming into nature preserves and marshes. Uninhabited, so yes could not ask for better landfall location as far as surge threat to life and property. As center moves onshore and winds spread inland that is going to be a big problem!
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Some impressive surge flooding vicinity Ft. Myers earlier today. Tampa Bay should see some notable water rise later tonight to around pre-dawn tomorrow. LOTS of water going to be piling into Appalachee Bay between mid-night and dawn tomorrow. Fort Myers photos.
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TPC had forward motion at 050 degrees earlier today. Latest advisory is a 360 degree heading, about 5-10 miles east of 85W. Suspect landfall is is between 83 to 84 west around or just before sunrise tomorrow.
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Said this morning I was expecting to see an eye by sunset....Idalia is trying very hard to get there! Overshooting clouds tops pretty much wrapping around the center for the first time. CDO is rather small and compact though.
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Idalia is trying hard based on satellite and radar. Really thought by this time (late afternoon) we would have started to see an eye starting to pop and clear out on satellite. So far recon is not overly impressive.
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You knew Katrina meant business when it exited the SW coast of FL more organized than when it came in on the SE coast. That storm just had the look from the get go. Classic "brown ocean" intensification while tracking across the Everglades.
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Interesting from NWS Tallahassee. Didn't realize a major had never entered that region before.
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Southeast rains. Unusual to see widespread shower / T-Storm activity out ahead of a hurricane like this. Usually sinking air in advance. Looks to me like a PRE (Predecessor Rain Event) ongoing. Bands of rain/storms along Fl west coast are more directly related to Idalia.
