MANDA
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Everything posted by MANDA
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And totally expected. Plume after plume of dust, a lot of subsidence and shear to knock back even the most robust looking wave that rolls of Africa. Caribbean looks to be shut down for at least the next 2-3 weeks and likely longer. Hard to imagine any meaningful ACE getting racked up in that area. Anything of note I think will have to come out of the SW Atlantic or maybe the Gulf. CSU ACE of 50 is starting to look generous. Even with peak Climo coming into view if we don't see some relaxation in the hostile atmospheric conditions I would not expect much. We'll see what things look like as we move into September but August looks to remain very quiet.
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Nice summary from NJ Climate Office for July 2026. Lots of rain! Sadly a preliminary count of 33 NJ weather related fatalities. https://www.njweather.org/articles/july-2026-recap Watch for locally heavy rainfall totals later Sunday into Sunday evening.
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North Fork of L.I. got a local drenching last night.
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Picked up another .42" of rainfall from an overnight T-Shower. Loud thunder and a burst of heavy rain. No wind and just a flash or two of lightning. Total rainfall month so far: 4.98".
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Gotta keep an eye on this. Depending on synoptic setup could be local drenchers which many places don't need or want. Local flooding threat.
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Picked up 1.35" rainfall from yesterday's T-Storm. Total over the last 7 days 4.34". Since 6/1/26: 18.84" Since 7/1/26: 13.33"
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Any rainfall estimates coming in from that area?
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Back home. Eyeballing the gauge looks like 1.25-1.5”. Will confirm in the morning. Some moderate road flooding in spots coming up Sussex Tpk.
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Drove through there earlier. Was pretty wicked around the Green.
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Friend in Pittstown hit hard. Power out.
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Driving through Morristown. Like the end of days here. Bolts of CTG lightning. Gushing rain and winds to 40-45 mph. Pulled into a parking lot route home is tree lined and not taking any chances. Wet ground and wind not a good combo.
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Don't know the exact number but I think numerous locations were between 115-120 at least. Was just nasty.
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Same here. Never felt it more nasty HI wise before or since. It was stifling beyond words. You literally could not take 10 steps with starting to drip sweat.
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Absolutely and that shows up well on Water Vapor images. Flow from Gulf / Cuba and east of FL / Bahamas pretty much due north. Deep moist flow. PW been running close to 2" last several days.
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The humidity / dews are what is making this stretch nasty. Temperatures are not crazy so if we can at least lose the humidity I think most would be happy. It is really swampy out there again this morning. Had .02" last night as a T-Storm clipped my area. Bulk of it slid by to the west into Sussex County..
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Gotta wonder if we make the CSU 50 ACE points that are forecast. I'll take the under. Shear is nuts as we head into the peak of the season. I think close in development is our best shot at something interesting. Not happening over the next 10 days though. Caribbean looks to be shut down for the duration with El-Nino induced shear at full tilt.
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Localized drenchers last 24 hours.
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Same here. Lots of lighting and loud thunder. No wind. Torrential rain. Picked up 1.01" in about 15-20 minutes. Sauna like out there this morning.
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At least where I was living for Irene, Ida and Floyd Irene was a distant third compared to Floyd and Ida. Also on Floyd, I remember looking at the radar starting around 6am and it was a text book Predecessor Rain Event (PRE) in the making. Classic.
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Floyd rainfall. Was in southeast Morris County at the time and had just over 10" from mid morning to late afternoon. It was a non stop deluge. River and road flooding was beyond description for several days. Ida in 2021 was a close second and actually the intensity was greater (in terms of hourly rainfall rates) than Floyd. Ida did her damage quicker. Floyd was more prolonged and continues torrential rainfall and overall totals were higher with Floyd where I was living at the time.
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Same here. Just clipped my area. Skies partly cloudy right now.
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Skies brightening here. Based on latest visible will be seeing breaks here over the next 60-90 minutes.
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Rainfall totals through about 8am from current event. The places that have gotten the most rainfall recently continue to get soaked.
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Another solid soaking overnight into earlier this morning. Received 1.92" along with vivid lightning and some loud thunder. Getting too wet at this point. Need to turn these firehose events off for a while. Too much of a good thing.
