MANDA
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Everything posted by MANDA
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The shear over the Caribbean is nuts so nothing gonna come through there. I'd watch 20-30N and west of 50-55W for anything to get going beyond 10 days. Big plume of dust coming across over the next week or so. Climo ramping up as we move through August so will be interesting to see what can get going with developing and already strong El-Nino.
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Last of the showers finally rotated through here about 10:30 last night. Picked up an additional .04". July ended up with 8.99" here and that is on the lower side for my area. Looks like another general 1" of rainfall next week. Locally higher amounts possible. Nice day today!
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This is what you call cyclonic rot July style. https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/PSUGOES_NE/loop60v.html
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Rainfall totals covering the entire event. Surprised the totals over the western third of Massachusetts are not higher given the radar over that area most of yesterday. Click to enlarge.
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Radar shows it finally pulling west and north of Albany proper but damage is clearly done.
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Deep moist fetch being rammed into the higher elevations and wrung out. Orographic lift going full bore. Bad situation.
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If you didn't know any better you would swear some tropical remnant merged with a frontal system was cutting into SNE this morning. https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/PSUGOES_NE/loop60v.html
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One and two days totals: Click map to enlarge.
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Event total here: 1.99". Enough but not excessive. While some slight long term dryness is still going on the drought up in my area is essentially over. July will end up being a very wet month up this way and for the sub forum with maybe a few exceptions. Just need to keep up at least normal rainfall next several months to keep from slipping back into dryness. Gotta love the negative tilt trof exiting off the Mid-Atlantic and SNE coast this morning. High anomalous for July. Not sure my grass has ever been greener heading into August.
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Hardest rain of the day right now. This time with some wind. Rain pelting the side of the house.
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Still raining hard at times here and still rumbles of thunder.
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Northwest Warren County and southwest Sussex County look to be getting drenched per latest radar.
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Western Hunterdon County along and south of 78 looks poised for some torrential rains at a minimum. Radar looks very impressive. Western and central Somerset county as well. Still bursts of heavy rain here with rumbles of thunder.
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Wow to the rainfall rate!
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Heavy rain here. Pouring at the moment. A few rumbles and flashes. No wind. Eyeballing the gauge looks like 1.25” on the day.
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Real deal here in Chatham. Tremendous CTG strikes. Crashing thunder and torrential rain. Minimal wind.
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Agreed! Sometimes better to remain quiet and appear the fool than to speak and remove all doubt.
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In Summit, NI currently. Radar is impressive southwest of here. Expecting heavy downpours within 60-90 minutes tops.
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Update on John Homenuk ("earthlight" from his days on these boards) Doing better but sounds like he had an awfully close call. Scary stuff. Best to him. https://people.com/healthy-36-year-old-reveals-warning-signs-before-suffering-widowmaker-heart-attack-exclusive-12018433?taid=6a5558621fb3140001d6dcb4&utm_campaign=peoplemagazine&utm_content=new&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com
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Just came in from yard work. Hot in the sun with just a minimal breeze. Soils still wet here. Just pull back the mulch a little and ground is wet. Grass could probably use a drink but doesn’t need a deluge that’s for certain.
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Message from NAM and RGEM at this point is watch out for locally excessive totals. The location will remain the question until nowcast time. If mesos start picking up on those kind of totals tomorrow the confidence goes up. At this point I would not be shocked to see local totals of 5” someplace in this sub forum. Hopefully not out this way.
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To me at least the cold never feels as harsh in February as it does in December or January. Especially once to mid February the increasing sun angle just helps make it not feel so bad. By mid February just by looking out the window you can tell winter is on the run. Mid February = Mid August
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Tornado Summary NWS Mt. Holly: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/TextProduct?product=pnsphi Was up in Stanhope today and drove through the Rt. 80 / 206 intersection. Very clearly it was tornado damage. Lots of twisting in the tree damage path. Also skipping from damage to none to damage again over a short distance. Clearly was not straight line winds.
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Been a while since things were this green and this well watered at the mid point of Summer. Still some long term dryness going on but big improvements over NNJ last several weeks.
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This is what I could find on the fly. Have to get out the door. Will dig further for max monthly. Note: I don't track by calendar day. Obs. are from 8am - 8am.
