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MANDA

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Everything posted by MANDA

  1. MANDA
    A paltry .07" here. Yet another event that looked decent 3-4 days out only to dwindle at go time. Top soils are barely ok but will dry out very quickly with any stretch of sunny, very wam to hot weather. Long term dryness persists. It has gotten better over the last 4-6 weeks but could easily go in the other direction fast if we don't get meaningful rain. Southeast really taking it on the chin. We'll see if that persistently dry area hangs on and/or expands over the next few months. It could make an upper ridge want to hold on as the Summer takes hold.
  2. MANDA
    Certainly not worthy of any awards....that's for sure.
  3. MANDA
    Nice explanation from him but even he seems a bit uncertain about the transition. I think they should have left the older models (at least the NAMS) in place and let them run operationally for another year alongside the RRFS. He thinks the V2.0 will be an improvement but who knows when that will be available operationally. Will be interesting once the older models disappear to see how things shake out. I'm personally still going to miss the NAMS in winter events since it handled low level thermals better than any other model, IMO.
  4. MANDA
    Not a popular move. I feel the same way...see above.
  5. MANDA
    I'd rather they all hung around. I personally don't think the RRFS is quite ready to solo in prime time. At least we knew the inherent short comings in the existing soon to leave us models and could use them as tools. NAM always seemed superior to other guidance (most of the time) in nailing CAD and speed of mid level warming in snow to mix/rain scenarios. Will miss that.
  6. MANDA
    Not looking forward to months of AC but that's the way it goes. Much rather have the windows open a bit at night and be under the blankets. That will be coming to an end soon enough.
  7. MANDA
    Sampling of the coldest NJ lows this morning. Likely not another morning with this kind of areawide chill until late September or October.
  8. MANDA
    .38" here last 24 hours. Some winners and losers across the area.
  9. MANDA
    Received .40" rainfall last 24 hours. Better than I was expecting. I'll take it. Click map to enlarge.
  10. MANDA
    Either way it will be nothing like it was modeled to be several days ago....as you said yesterday. Most of the area was modeled at .75 to 1.25" and now we will struggle to reach .25" in most places. Does not look overly wet over the coming 1-2 weeks. Dry periods outdoing the wet periods for better than 18 months now.
  11. MANDA
    50" Mt. Arlington, NJ
  12. MANDA
    Did pretty well here with .68" rainfall last evening into the overnight. Total for April: 3.68". Not bad but 60% of that total came this week. Month prior to this final week of the month was very dry.
  13. MANDA
    Chilly this morning. Overnight low of 36.
  14. MANDA
    1.52" here for the event. A nice slow and steady soaking for this sub forum. Click map to enlarge.
  15. MANDA
    Persistent light rain, some moderate at times since about 10 A.M. Temperature stuck at 38. Currently 36 up at High Point and 38 in Vernon per NJWXNET. When April opened based on late March and early April LR guidance I was expecting a +3 to +3.5 degree temperature departure for the month. Bust on my part. Cooler periods were very effective at beating back the warm periods. Unusual around here in recent years. Per @donsutherland1 April looks to average just about 1.5 above and that might slip a bit more before the end of the month.
  16. MANDA
    On the bright side...the grass seed I put down two weeks ago to fix parts of the lawn by the street that got really beaten up by the town mounding snow mixed with excess road salt has filled in great. I did have to keep it sprinkled daily but it was great weather for it to get a good start. Putting down some fertilizer later today to get soaked in by the rain. I would rather the rain and big chill didn't happen over the weekend but what can we do. A good weekend to all. Make the best of it.
  17. MANDA
    Overnight low of 25 here. Sampling of NJ overnight lows attached.
  18. MANDA
    I'm not no much worried about a frost or freeze once to like 5/10 up here but I have found if you wait a few more weeks beyond that the soils warm up and things just seem to do better. Of course that varies from year to year with the actual weather conditions as to how fast the soils warm. Have found with cool soils things just tend to "sit there" until it really warms up and with cool soils if we hit a wet stretch things have a higher chance of rotting out. The cooler weather crops are a different story but I don't plant much of those these days.
  19. MANDA
    As they should be...it is mid/late April not mid/late May. Not to mention this "chill" was well advertised. I wait until Memorial Day weekend up this way to do flowers and warmer weather veggies.
  20. MANDA
    Currently 38 here with steady light rain. High Point coming in at 32.
  21. MANDA
    Usually favors the Southeast for heavier precipitation but we'll see how it evolves. Either way no more 80's and 90's for a while.
  22. MANDA
    Picked up .28" rainfall yesterday afternoon in three separate rounds of quick moving but intense downpours. Total over the last 4 days .58". Got lucky in my neighborhood.
  23. MANDA
    Had torrential downpour about an hour ago but only lasted about 2 minutes. Still numerous clusters of showers / storms over parts of NNJ.
  24. MANDA
    You should have done pretty good last night right?
  25. MANDA
    Picked up .06" rainfall with a quick moving t-shower around 10:00 last evening. Places west and NW of here did better with greater than .25". We'll see how much we can add on Sunday. Heat was nice but a bit much for mid April. Looking forward to a cool down but could do without the cold mornings upcoming early next week. On the other hand will be nice to sleep with the windows cracked open again.
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