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Received an additional .11" rainfall 8am Monday to 8am today. Three day event total .7".
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Didn’t bust it. Didn’t dent it. Barely dinged it west of 287. Whatever rain fell soaked in though so that’s a plus.
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I think it is safe to say this storm went as advertised for coastal NJ and Long Island in terms of wind gusts, power outages, coastal flooding and beach erosion. Rainfall varied from west to east and no totals really out of hand. I don’t quite get the number of inland power outages as this was pretty much run of the mill in my area. Rain with wind gusts of 30-35 mph should not be knocking out power. Guess trees still in full leaf part of the problem? Not like the ground was saturated so don’t quite get it. Coastal NJ as expected took the brunt of this. Some impressive videos from along the NJ shore.
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Nice! We’ve not had a stretch of weather like this in while. Looks and feels like October should. Lots of leaves down overnight up this way.
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Interesting satellite loop this morning. Don't see dual lows like that often. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/PSUGOES_OV/loop30v.html
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Received .43” last 24 hours. Event total = .59”. Mist and drizzle ongoing. Temp 49. Chilly, damp and raw. Winds have pulled back from the gustiness of overnight and early this morning.
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Rainfall totals OKX https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=OKX&product=PNS&format=CI&version=1&highlight=off&glossary=1#:~:text= 4
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Max winds OKX https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=OKX&product=PNS&format=CI&version=2&highlight=off&glossary=1
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Gusty at times here during the overnight and currently ongoing. Estimated up to 30 mph at times here on too of the hill.
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This was not overplayed along the coast. Meeting expectations at a minimum. Especially for NJ beaches. LI power outages nothing to sneeze at either.
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Little Egg Harbor recently gusted to 59 mph. Winds busier than they have been up here all day. Nothing dramatic but estimated 20-25 mph gust at times. Just a bit of mist in the air.
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SNJ Coastal Flooding video. https://x.com/i/status/1977412609877123362 https://x.com/i/status/1977439577813172611
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SNJ Coastal Flooding video. https://x.com/i/status/1977412609877123362 https://x.com/i/status/1977439577813172611
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Little Egg Harbor Twp. gusted to 54 mph in the last 15 minutes from the NE.
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I think part of the reason for lack of a bigger water push is wind direction. Winds are more NNE than anything. Until or if they turn more ENE I can't see much reason for tides to go higher than they were earlier. Ultimate sfc low pressure track will determine if they go more easterly. Not downplaying but if not more of an east component coastal flooding would I think be held to moderate at best.
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Peak gusts as of 12:25 p.m. along NJ coast attached: Some beach cam links: https://friendsofibsp.org/live-cams/oba1-beach-cam/ https://exit82.com/beach-cam/ https://njsurfer.com/
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Received .16" rainfall 8am yesterday to 8am today. Periods of light rain, mist and drizzle began early yesterday afternoon and persisted up until the hours around mid-night. Currently just cloudy. Winds light. Perhaps 10-15 mph at times. This event always was and will be a bigger deal at the coast. Not a joke down there. Going to be moderate to locally major coastal flooding, beach erosion etc. Winds gusting to 60 mph+ ocean front seem likely. My expectations for rainfall up this way have come down. Was thinking along the lines of 1 to 1.5". That seems quite unlikely at this point. Main event is NJ / LI coast with long duration onshore flow, strong winds and coastal flooding / erosion. Wind issues along the coast as well with power outages / tree damage. This will be a big deal for coastal locations. Would not underestimate effects for those locations. Inland west of I-95 don't envision wind gusts much over 30 mph.
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I'm still amazed at the job the LFM did with the Blizzard of 78. Had it at 48 (only went out to 48 hours) hours and never let it go or wavered. I have that as second hand information as I was in high school at the time. I do remember speaking with Meteorologist Bill Korbel at the time and he was keeping me in the loop. I was one of his Weather Watchers back in the day. Great guy and great Met. LFM had a shaky reputation to say the least and was notorious for pulling the rug at the last minute.
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Periods of light rain, mist and drizzle most of the afternoon since about 1:00 here. Checked the gauge and .02" as of 4:50. Kind of damp, raw and chilly. Currently 57.
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Periods of very light rain, mist and drizzle ongoing here for last 90 minutes or so.
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That Ocean / Monmouth County area has been targeted for several runs on various models for the heaviest rains. Overall this map does not look out of line and is about what I'm expecting. Maybe boost the totals some for LI? Strong onshore winds always were going to be the main feature of this event along with associated moderate to perhaps major coastal flooding especially NJ coast / bays. Solid beach erosion is going to take place over 3 three high tide cycles. I think inland winds are overdone but would not be shocked to see some gusts to 60 mph+? along the NJ coast. Expecting up to 30 mph up in my neck of the woods.
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