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MANDA

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Everything posted by MANDA

  1. Pretty much entire NYC metro area. Colder and dry looks to dominate next 7-10 days at least and that takes us to about 12/17. Beyond 12/17 through perhaps the end of the month I'd lean towards that period averaging colder than normal to at worst normal...along the lines of -2 to +.5 as an early call for 12/16 to 12/31. Below normal precipitation as well I think.
  2. Current longer range guidance differs significantly as to what the pattern does just beyond mid-month. ECAI wants nothing to do with any kind of a notable moderation in temperatures. It keeps the cold locked and loaded through Christmas. Other guidance relaxes the cold but nothing suggests any kind of a Christmas torch this year. We'll see. Modeled forecasts of warm ups have been either wrong or muted for the most part since back in October. Snowfall prospects much more uncertain but I'd favor persistence and lean toward possible light clipper / frontal passage events. Don't see any solid evidence at this point in the longer range of anything major 4-8"+. In general I'd favor overall below normal precipitation for the next 7-10 days. Colder and generally dry pattern looks to dominate.
  3. Totally agree with you. It all started with every event after November 2018. I never remember it before that and vividly remember it after that! 100%
  4. It is honestly obscene. Was in a mall parking lot last night and i t was LOADED with rock salt. Almost could not see pavement though it.
  5. 12Z OP EURO is cranking out some bitter cold for late next week / weekend from the upper Mid-West / Great Lakes then into the Northeast. Big cold high drops to Iowa/Missouri by next Saturday and pushes east. OP at face value is storm squashing cold. We'll see but one thing for sure solidly below normal through mid month at least.
  6. Picked up .20" snowfall overnight. Melted total .02". Looks festive while it lasts. I am on a nickle and dime ride to 1" for the season. Currently .7".
  7. Picked up .20" snowfall overnight. Melted total .02". Looks festive while it lasts. I am on a nickle and dime ride to 1" for the season. Currently .7".
  8. Picked up .20" snowfall overnight. Melted total .02". Looks festive while it lasts. I am on a nickle and dime ride to 1" for the season. Currently .7".
  9. That may be true for most of L.I. but a different story out this way and in the watershed areas. Only .65" for the month here and that total is not going anywhere fast over the next week at least.
  10. No joke. It might not be sexy to talk about drought at this time of year but the dry pattern persists. If we have a dry Winter we will go into Spring with well below normal ground water levels and reservoir levels. If dryness during the Spring persists it will worsen quickly. Certainly seems as though we are on our way toward a dry December.
  11. Heavily overcast here with a 1:00 p.m. temperature of 22 degrees. Impressive cold IMO. Granted the overcast is helping.
  12. Thanks. Can you update this maybe once a week so we can see if any of those records fall or progress up the list. Likely many will.
  13. Not bad snow coverage for December 5th. despite the bare ground from PHL up to just south of BOS. Will help keep the air "chilled" as is moves in from the west and northwest over the next week or two.
  14. Snowing nicely in D.C. https://www.earthtv.com/en/webcam/washington-dc-capitol
  15. Overnight low of 10 here. If I had any meaningful snow cover it would have been colder. Just scattered trace amounts remain around here. Coldest NWNJ icebox spots within a few degrees of zero.
  16. Most stations on this map have more snow season to date than my location. Currently .50" on the season here.
  17. Thanks @SACRUS for your daily local climo updates and historical summary. Appreciated always. The historical summary brings back some nice memories from time to time. The 1989 stat from today brings back memories of the bitter cold December that was getting underway.
  18. Don- Thanks as always for your always interesting and enlightening stats.
  19. Do with it as you wish but WPC not enthused for much precip in any form over the next 7 days. I.E. cold and dry. That said any subtle change in the flow could allow for a northward drift in the precip shield to our south but seems a long shot attm.
  20. Appreciate your posts Walt. I think you did a fine job in highlighting this event. This never was about accumulating snow south and east of I95. I think the event under performed from my area north and west compared to most modeling 36-48 hours out. The 12Z Monday guidance pulled the football away and that was mostly correct for the north of 80 / west of 287 crowd.
  21. Raining here and 33 degrees. Measured 1/2" at time it switched to sleet and rain about 10:45.
  22. Currently raining here. Turned to sleet / rain about 10:45 and now just raining with a temperature of 33. Measured 1/2" here just as it changed over.
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