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MANDA

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Everything posted by MANDA

  1. Yes, this is what I mean. Keep the dry pattern going through Winter and come Spring we will be significantly below normal. Long ways to go but pattern has been rather persistent. If we get lots of suppression from high pressure to our north as we move through Fall and Winter it will keep the dry pattern going. Very possible.
  2. Keep this pattern going and it will be a different story for the reservoirs come Spring. Not saying pattern will persist but a drier than normal pattern for Winter is not out of the question. And I 100% agree if you have ag or garden / landscaping interests this pattern is not enjoyable.
  3. Seems like over them or just south of them is most likely at this point. Will be interesting to watch and see how this unfolds.
  4. Nice stats Don. Thanks. Last October was brutally dry, remember that well.
  5. Taking a break from all the warm and dry chatter for a moment it sure is nice out there this morning. Great sleeping weather with the windows open and the blankets up. Nice breeze with a bit of a "wind chill" going on. Nice! Overnight low here was 48. Walpack, NJ was lowest I saw with an overnight low of 36, that was a notable exception. Most NNJ cold spots were in the l/m 40's. We now return you to our regularly scheduled program.
  6. Looking forward to the cool down no matter how short lived it will be. Rainfall here for September was better than for most places. Received 3.32" for the month. That was mostly from the 2.15" that fell on 9/5, surprise over performer. Rest of the month was scattered light events. Hopefully October can deliver more widespread moderate to heavier totals but my expectations are low.
  7. Nice visible loop.....on her way to Cat 2. I'd venture to say Imelda reaches Hurricane status by 5pm based on radar and satellite over the past few hours. https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/PSUGOES_MESO1/loop90.html
  8. Nice visible loop. https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/PSUGOES_MESO2/loop60.html
  9. LOL. AT 11:00 A.M. they mention NOAA AIGEFS in the Humberto discussion. First mention of another AI guidance I've seen.
  10. Agree. I was surprised when I saw AI in their discussions earlier this year. I'd keep it "in house" for a few years to establish some kind of track record. So new and unproven. They mention Google but nothing about any of the other AI guidance available. I find that kind of odd as well.
  11. Essentially a "head on" hit. Strong winds and pushing a lot of water out in front of it.
  12. Picked up .27" last 24 hours. Three day event total = .63". Disappointing but at least no runoff and it all soaked in. Overall the dry pattern continues. Some places drier than others but the overall pattern has been dry. Unless there is a surprise it does not look like the tropics will deliver anything over the next week up this way.
  13. .28" here so far. Fog and drizzle currently. Visibility 1/4 to 1/2 mile here on top of the hill.
  14. WPC usually on the conservative side so if you are looking / hoping for meaningful rain you gotta like the look of this. As Walt said still a ways off and details not solid but nice starting point.
  15. Had additional showers last evening that helped get the total up to .19". I'll take it as another 7 day stretch of dry weather is ahead.
  16. Pathetic looking and not going anywhere fast as far as intensification that's for sure. Never should have been upgraded to TS status yesterday. Leaving it as a depression might have even been generous. What a season thus far.
  17. Didn't go out to check the gauge but can't be more than .10". Had a brief heavy downpour and then a period of light rain for about 30 min. Will confirm total in the morning.
  18. Lucky you! Radar says it is heading (NW) my way. Hopefully it can hold together and I can get at least .25". Radar says I have a shot.
  19. https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-15107125/Hurricane-Gabrielle-US-coast-tropical-depression.html The changed the headline to "Barrels towards the east coast" What a two bit rag sheet.
  20. You realize the population of Bermuda is WELL below 100K never mind MILLIONS. The article is pure clickbait.
  21. TPC would never pull that plug that quickly.
  22. 100%. Friend sent it to me from Daily Mail. Daily Mail but still !
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