Baum

fun LOT tidbit: INTERESTING TO NOTE THAT EVEN THE DRIER ENSEMBLE CLUSTERS FROM WPC ANALYSIS BRING AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH OF QPF INTO OUR SOUTHEASTERN CWA WITH THIS SYSTEM, INDICATING THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION WELL NORTHWEST OF THE LOW TRACK

If that Euro were to verify I'm looking 3-6". More optimistic than I've been thinking.

yep. I did look incorrectly. Game over.

I'll take the scraps.

^ agreed. Climatology would say so. But that doesn't end cold and snow. Hopefully, by St. Paddy's day were on our way to an early spring.

Idaho, brings back memories of the evil knievel snake river jump. Those were the days.....

gonna find a way to snow.

that'd be okay.

would not be surprising to see a deep hard cutter once the PV relaxes and help establish a new pattern.

same

some larger dendrites here now. LOT update: SNOW INTENSITY WILL GRADUALLY WANE THIS MORNING GIVING ROAD CREWS AN OPPORTUNITY TO MAKE HEADWAY IN THEIR CLEARING EFFORTS. HOWEVER, A NEW AREA OF STEADY SNOW IS EXPECTED TO FLARE THIS AFTERNOON (LOOKING AT THE 1-4 PM WINDOW) AS A SECONDARY UPPER-LEVEL JET MAX PUSHES IN FROM THE WEST. WE ARE ALREADY SEEING SIGNS OF THE SECOND FLARE ACROSS NORTHERN MISSOURI AND CENTRAL IOWA - THAT WILL BE THE FEATURE TO TRACK AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. SNOW WILL THEN END FROM WEST TO EAST AFTER SUNSET

yeah, city along and southeast of I-55 looking good today. Hoping to sneak out a couple inches in that cold air regime even here. BTW....who starts the next thread?.....to late.

got it posted before i could.

nice gentle light snow falling. BROAD MAINLY LIGHT SNOW STARTS OFF THE SATURDAY ACROSS NORTHERN ILLINOIS AND NORTHWEST INDIANA. MORE FREQUENT MODERATE RATES ARE LIKELY BY LATER THIS MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON AS STRONGER AND DEEPER FORCING THROUGH THE ATMOSPHERE MOVES OVERHEAD. A GREATER PROPENSITY FOR TEMPORARY SUB 1 1/2SM VISIBILITY IS SEEN IN OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS UPSTREAM AND THE METEOROLOGICAL INGREDIENTS WE LOOK AT, SO CONFIDENCE WAS ENOUGH TO INTRODUCE A TEMPO FOR 1SM VISIBILITY AND 1,000 FT CEILINGS IN SNOW. LOWER ON BOTH CONDITIONS IS POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME. ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL FROM 12Z THROUGH 00Z TODAY OF 1 TO 2 INCHES IS PRESENTLY EXPECTED AT THE AIRPORTS.

have a great trip. Here's to a Chicago blizzard delaying your return.

Mchenry gonna go off.

in the end have to hope for the intial Sunday PM wave. The 3rd wave on the train is DOA as that dam high is dominant. Left with only a lake effect dream. But folks south and east deserve their time.

Dupage county: wife logged in on line as we are both essential and scheduled us for a vaccine within 7 days. Showed up at 8:30 AM on appointment day. We were in and out in 30 minutes. Despite all we've been through hard to believe we may have a vaccine in less than a year for a virus that barely existed a year ago at this time. Realize, it's not the same for everyone. But there are some positives that do exist. My hope is as time goes on my experience becomes the norm. Might add the nurse that administered my dose was well into her 70's and struggled mightily with some of the technology aspect of inputting the tracking info. But as she said," I'm not good at this, but I know how to give the shot" My guess: a volunteer. In the end, there are good people and positive tales.

bankin on lake effect snow on the west shore of Lake MIchigan 84 hours out is a losers game.

if your talking the sun/mon wave where the NAM/GEM show snow and the GFS shows zero...do a compromise like the incoming event and go 1-3".

take it and run

set the floor at 6"

personally, enjoy long duration 2-4" moderate events in deep cold airmass. Especially, on a weekend where I don't have to drive in it,

^optimists counterpoint; you could get 15" over the next 7 days.

excellent under the hood discussion by the LOT forecaster. Even baked in the possibility of an over performance.