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Baum

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Everything posted by Baum

  1. steady as she goes.....probably headed past 4 " at this point.
  2. starting to spit here again. I'm going to say we get a pleasant surprise over the next 24 hours to make this a win.
  3. I guess the block was denied. Don't radar obsess these days. Any chance we get into the backlash snow as wave passes to the east today?
  4. snow day. If I can put down several down several more inches and catch a couple dying lake bands over the next 24 hours I'll call it a win.
  5. surprised at the consistency of the snow as it is blowing quite easily for what was supposed to be such a wet snow. Nice winter evening with the whipping wind and snow btw.
  6. good. toss. outlier. probably ingested some bad data out near needles, CA.
  7. nice to hear something positive. I'll take two steps back from the ledge.
  8. i hope the 13" photo in Nebraska followed by the graupel photo in chicago is not telling.
  9. finally starts snowing after model watching for 3 days....checks board posts, and it's over.
  10. as a younger guy I used a 4 iron to slice those into the neighbors yard in the cold months. true story.
  11. LOT PM AFD out. No changes. 8-12" in some their near lake zones Risk of lake effect into Wednesday. What's to complain?
  12. so we've got past the euro blip? Excellent. That's 7-9" IMBY. I'm good.
  13. From LOT:" AT THE LEADING EDGE OF THE DRYSLOT, STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL COMPETE WITH DIMINISHING HIGH-LEVEL MOISTURE. IF MOISTURE REMAINS IN SUFFICIENT SUPPLY, CONVECTIVE-TYPE SNOW WOULD CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT AND ACT TO LOCALLY ENHANCE TOTALS, BUT THIS REMAINS LOWER CONFIDENCE AT THIS TIME. "
  14. appreciate the update on what will be a snow grain when it gets to my yard
  15. Tremendous messaging by LOT on this event in my opinion from a public perspective. Never bit on the high end numbers from 2 days ago and have pretty much stayed the course on a solid 6 " event. The latest update on accumulation refinement between I-39 and I-355 is another nice touch given that area will be in between the best accumulation maxima. Sadly, I'm in that zone..
  16. optimistic post by Alek at 5am with a storm incoming. That's a dam rare thing these days.
  17. only today's runs with the continuous downtick in QPF were a drag. Even so, track pretty much unchanged and consistent since Friday's 12Z runs. Looks like a 5"-8" with some lollipops as forecast by LOT seems on track. If you counted on 12" + you'll be dissapointed. Very well could snow in some capacity in NE IL through Wednesday. Take it and run.
  18. without a doubt. But I never really considered this a double digit event. And actually LOT never has either in any discussion regarding amounts. Hoping to hold onto a 4-8 event at this point.
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