Baum
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Everything posted by Baum
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and quad cities AFD takes the bait:"THE DEPTH OF THE SNOW PACK ACROSS THE AREA (ESPECIALLY AFTER THE WEEKEND SYSTEM) 'SHOULD' PROVIDE A NEGATIVE FEEDBACK AND HELP ENHANCE THE DEPTH OF THE COLD AIR AHEAD OF THIS STORM SYSTEM. SUCH AN ENHANCEMENT SHOULD SUPPRESS ANY STORM TRACK EITHER OVER THE AREA OR TO THE SOUTH AND EAST."
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I'm thinking that low will end up more near joplin,MO as we close in on the date.
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8" call for MBY.
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^big
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I don't think I've seen an Alek call on this event. Perhaps missed it.
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Do you think the drying trend on the 12Z NAM makes sense? Or would you side with the more agreesive 3K version? When you say drier can you post totals say as compared to last nights 00Z run compared to the current 12Z run. Thanks, I'm interested to see how steep the drop off is.
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good sign. It was at this point on Sunday(24 hrs out from GO time) with the last event things began the drier trends. It'd be nice to see it hold tight into the lead up with today's runs.
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appears we're still on track for a solid 6"- 10" event at first glance.
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I'm not at ground zero anymore.
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To be honest, even you need a powerhouse cutter to head into the upper lakes to release the cold south. Once established your in the game. Perhaps not until. Sometimes a short term negative is a longer term positive.
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agreed.
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^ not bad if that's the lame(toss) model for MBY.
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bit o sarcasm there in responding to our resident LOT met. Better chance we flood but as RC stated we push the existing block further east but maybe in time we dislodge some real cold here shortly thereafter.
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no worries. one of my favorite winter storm keys comes into play here; the storm will be pushed south by the existing snowpack.
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Cary call going to be doubled by February 15.
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still ground zero. I'm worried.
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I don't need it sampled. I'm good.
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6Z NAM puts me at ground zero. I'll enjoy it for 2 more hours.
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pin it.
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^ Wakes up. Wonders about overnight runs. Sees this. All good.
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^ dryslot incoming.
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respect the block.
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Will we ever have another 7-10 day clipper train period? And don't say that NW flow set up we had with 2-3 waves of 1/2" snowfalls in 35 degree temps was it. It was not. I'm talking an energetic wave train with arctic air in place that puts down 3-4' on 0.15 of QPF in the heart of winter with a solid snowpack already in place every 36 hours or so,
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I'm okay with that euro run.
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^ too dry.
