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Baum

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Everything posted by Baum

  1. Re 18Z GEFS: my professional take is I hope that vibrant pink color gets all the way to my back yard.
  2. Actually pretty tame. If this thing hiccups somewhere it'll really head off the rails. Plus it occurred during model down time.
  3. How much does it cost to buy a met tag to replace my weenie tag? Event wise 6-10" still looks reasonable. Hopefully, in time we can walk back some of the eastward weakening trends. Glad today's 12Z runs were fairly drama free.
  4. Another day of tracking. Yesterday concerns about a miss south. Now concerned about mixing issues. Tale of the tape. Looks like a solid 6-10" event.
  5. snow shield edging north into chicago metro on this run.
  6. Let me help from Lincoln, IL office: OPEN GULF WILL ALLOW UNSEASONABLY MOIST AIR (PWATS IN EXCESS OF 1.0 INCH) TO BE TRANSPORTED NORTH ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY AHEAD OF THE LOW. THIS WILL HELP CONTRIBUTE TO HIGH QPF/LIQUID EQUIVALENT DURING THIS EVENT.
  7. I'm gassed. Only about 24 more model runs. Do think Purdue's map is the sweet spot.
  8. Sorry fella, but I can't recall the last time I've attacked a poster for an opinion. But i do take exception with whining. So now I'll have to sic stebo and chicago storm on you. On to the ball kick from the 12Z Euro.
  9. agreed. Couple of newbies got loose from pre school. Best not to engage. As I said two days ago...going to be a long slog.
  10. he smokes my area in the ukmet scenario... 0.9 vs 0.4. Nightmare solution for Chicago as we split the minimal WAA wave and the main wave goes south.
  11. we don't care. we're riding the GFS now.
  12. that should be a perfect track for us chicago metro folks.
  13. nice look on that 12Z GFS considering where it was 24 hours ago. And no, the north burbs are clearly not out of the game. Also, lends credence to the throw out of the NAM.
  14. ^ call me when we get the amped 20" solution. Than I'll know it's a real event.
  15. Agreed. And Jerry, never pegged any storm over 6" may he rest in peace.
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