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Baum

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Everything posted by Baum

  1. phrase of the month: "detroit duster."
  2. ^ December 2020 in a nutshell. "pound town" and "0.7" in the same sentence.
  3. I'm getting concerned about the sun angle once we do get some snow in February. Sidenote: if there was ever a time to ride the Bastardi "rubberband theory" it is now....summary; the weather will only pull so far in one direction for so long (warm/dry) before the band has to snap back even farther in the other direction(cold/wet)...not sure this applies in today's modern world of climate change where places like Chicago could become the Mojave desert in time.
  4. does this line up with Brian D's call for Christmas back on the 4th of July?
  5. you just did. and it missed you to the north leaving you with backside slush.
  6. same idea: THE FORECAST BECOMES MUCH MORE COMPLEX WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE SURFACE LOW SATURDAY MORNING. CAA WILL BEGIN TO TAKE HOLD IN THE LOW- LEVELS, ALLOWING THE RAIN/SNOW LINE TO TRACK SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. THERE REMAINS SIGNIFICANT DISCREPANCIES AS TO HOW FAST THIS SOUTHEASTWARD MARCH OCCURS, WITH SOME GUIDANCE HOLDING ON TO WARMER AIR IN THE LOW-LEVELS INTO THE AFTERNOON. ADDITIONALLY, PRECIP RATE WILL LIKELY DICTATE PRECIP TYPE, WITH HEAVIER RATES IN A POSSIBLE AXIS OF MODERATE DEFORMATION PRECIP FAVORING ALL SNOW VS. A RAIN/SNOW MIX OR ALL RAIN. SOME 00Z GUIDANCE (CMC, ECMWF) ARE SUGGESTING THIS POTENTIAL NORTH OF I-80 LATE SATURDAY MORNING INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON. SO, WHILE THE CURRENT FORECAST INDICATES ONLY LIMITED ACCUMULATING SNOW AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE WI STATE LINE, NOTABLE ACCUMULATIONS ARE STILL POSSIBLE FOR NORTHERN ILLINOIS, INCLUDING THE CHICAGO METRO NORTHWEST OF AN AURORA TO GLENCOE LINE.
  7. pretty sure we're not going to know what's going to happen until it happens.
  8. who knew a cold rain at 37 would be a positive step in the right direction on December 12?
  9. as long as when winter kicks in it ends on March 10 or thereabouts. 70 day winters with strict cut offs are okay by me.
  10. so rainer for Alek....snow for everyone else. Winter is on.
  11. ^ I wouldn't be shocked to see a New Orleans special.
  12. I'll take my 2" of slush and run. Wasn't really banking on winter until after Christmas anyway. So this would be just a bonus event.
  13. positive point of view for the win. "That's a damn rare thing these days"- Del Griffith.
  14. ^ when every model shows this 6 hours before "game on" start the thread. not until.
  15. Love this thread: "winters over" " No snow until march" " Our climo sucks" ...post upon post and discussion of futile winters....."I hate brown grass" .....euro rolls in with a 8" snow for some areas ........classic weather weenies delight.
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