Baum
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Everything posted by Baum
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I'm gassed. Only about 24 more model runs. Do think Purdue's map is the sweet spot.
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ugh.
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Sorry fella, but I can't recall the last time I've attacked a poster for an opinion. But i do take exception with whining. So now I'll have to sic stebo and chicago storm on you. On to the ball kick from the 12Z Euro.
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agreed. Couple of newbies got loose from pre school. Best not to engage. As I said two days ago...going to be a long slog.
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he smokes my area in the ukmet scenario... 0.9 vs 0.4. Nightmare solution for Chicago as we split the minimal WAA wave and the main wave goes south.
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we don't care. we're riding the GFS now.
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that should be a perfect track for us chicago metro folks.
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nice look on that 12Z GFS considering where it was 24 hours ago. And no, the north burbs are clearly not out of the game. Also, lends credence to the throw out of the NAM.
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^ call me when we get the amped 20" solution. Than I'll know it's a real event.
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I'm not in Cary. So I don't care.
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^ supports 3" call in Cary.
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Agreed. And Jerry, never pegged any storm over 6" may he rest in peace.
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I'm not so sure 3" in Cary is that much of a lowball. But any guess on amounts is still just a dart throw at this stage.
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encouraging write up with a reasonable perspective from LOT:"STILL TOO EARLY FOR A SNOWFALL AMOUNT OFFERING, BUT GIVEN THE DEGREE OF MOISTURE WITH THIS SYSTEM AND WHAT APPEARS TO BE A DECENT REGION OF DEFORMATION SNOWFALL TOWARDS MONDAY EVENING, THE POTENTIAL CERTAINLY EXISTS FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS (>6") IN THE FORECAST AREA, JUST STILL QUITE A FEW MOVING PARTS TO NAIL DOWN YET."
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Just catching up. Why so conservative on the intial WAA event Saturday Eve ? The main event still has a lit of ups and downs to ride but your call seems legit hopefully on the lower end of the spectrum.
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ban.
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negative vibes. It's the chase and the hope that's all part of it.
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a consensus on those two 4 days out is the kiss of death.
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was not specific to any particular region. More relating to a more standard winter event with Heavy Snow, Freezing Rain, and Rain depending on your proximity to the low pressure area.
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Read it. Weather porn to say the least. Don't think Mchenry will get through it.
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I actually did follow these guys for a bit. Problem is they don't really provide a uniform forecast rather a variety of forecasts and than hype themselves as correct if one of their six scenarios pan out. Worse, they inundate social media with these various mets who push these conflicting/contradicting scenarios. Most of it geared I suspect to give the impression of accuracy and lure unwitting energy traders/clients.
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obviously. Or a number of other scenarios. However, as previuosly stated virtually every model now shows a decent event within the forum.
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Agreed. Every model now depicts a sizebale accumulating event. Was not the case at 12Z yesterday.
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someone always gets screwed. That's the way this works.
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LOT has some early AM advice for you:"KEEP IN MIND IT'S NEVER A BAD TIME TO MAKE SURE YOUR WINTER KIT AT HOME OR IN YOUR CAR IS STOCKED AND READY TO GO."
