Baum
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Everything posted by Baum
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good. toss. outlier. probably ingested some bad data out near needles, CA.
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nice to hear something positive. I'll take two steps back from the ledge.
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i hope the 13" photo in Nebraska followed by the graupel photo in chicago is not telling.
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finally starts snowing after model watching for 3 days....checks board posts, and it's over.
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as a younger guy I used a 4 iron to slice those into the neighbors yard in the cold months. true story.
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now it has to verify.
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LOT PM AFD out. No changes. 8-12" in some their near lake zones Risk of lake effect into Wednesday. What's to complain?
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so we've got past the euro blip? Excellent. That's 7-9" IMBY. I'm good.
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From LOT:" AT THE LEADING EDGE OF THE DRYSLOT, STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL COMPETE WITH DIMINISHING HIGH-LEVEL MOISTURE. IF MOISTURE REMAINS IN SUFFICIENT SUPPLY, CONVECTIVE-TYPE SNOW WOULD CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT AND ACT TO LOCALLY ENHANCE TOTALS, BUT THIS REMAINS LOWER CONFIDENCE AT THIS TIME. "
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appreciate the update on what will be a snow grain when it gets to my yard
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Tremendous messaging by LOT on this event in my opinion from a public perspective. Never bit on the high end numbers from 2 days ago and have pretty much stayed the course on a solid 6 " event. The latest update on accumulation refinement between I-39 and I-355 is another nice touch given that area will be in between the best accumulation maxima. Sadly, I'm in that zone..
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optimistic post by Alek at 5am with a storm incoming. That's a dam rare thing these days.
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we rally tommorow.
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only today's runs with the continuous downtick in QPF were a drag. Even so, track pretty much unchanged and consistent since Friday's 12Z runs. Looks like a 5"-8" with some lollipops as forecast by LOT seems on track. If you counted on 12" + you'll be dissapointed. Very well could snow in some capacity in NE IL through Wednesday. Take it and run.
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ride it
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I like the look of the NAM
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without a doubt. But I never really considered this a double digit event. And actually LOT never has either in any discussion regarding amounts. Hoping to hold onto a 4-8 event at this point.
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diasagree. snow events in April always pan out.
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ride the GFS
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eh. he's just weak trolling. Do agree when you see uniform trends like today 24 hours before event we're probably on the correct track.
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when does alek post the suicide booth?
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5.8" 6.7" will update as models come in,
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time for a call: 6.5"
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preemptive strike. Euro bumps north and drier. dammit.
