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Baum
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Everything posted by Baum
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easy toss. Figure rain or sleet.
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The reckoning will be when you look out your window about 11 am Saturday.....
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think inch of rain...6" of clay. Anyone recall a storm system say around new years 1985...poured buckets and ended with 5-6" of heavy wet snow?
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I'd debate a number of these assertions(prognostications) but it's really not worth the effort anymore. If your winter weather hound it's just good to have something to track.
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where?
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nah. too many flooded roads and viaducts......hassle.
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Ha. That's another way to make it work! In truth, I was kidding a touch. I trust what Cantore posts from TWC is their legit take. If only..it panned out
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I saw that. That's how you drive viewership in the weather game these days. Make sure that 6-10" line cuts through a huge media market. I'm sure mets submitted their forecast, and then told to massage it.
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This is the type of storm that very well look like you missed the back end show. Than you get caught by a tail end squall and get your quick 2". Desperate times call for desperate calls.
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I'm under a Flood Watch. Call for heavy rain to brief freezing rain and back end thump on track. I'll take that over the sleet fiasco.
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Funny I always thought that was the day after Christmas. Type of event you get in a poor winter. 2" of sleet that hangs on until March. Days of looking at dirty sleet with temps in the '20's...I can feel it too. Ugh.
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Easy call. Heavy Rain. Short time ice transition. Back end thump of snow. 2-4" immediate W and N 'burbs. Your ground may whiten slightly.
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^ i like it. He trashed the highly regarded Euro model. Without trying.
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false. last winter was notorious for south fades, and even the pre christmas Indy runner(couldn't resist) did just that model wise. And i believe the idolized Euro model did so. That said, every storm is different.
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unfortunately, this is the solution that concerns me...if your looking for snow in the LOT CWA.... see you, same place, same time tommorow...
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kiss of death.
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^ not yet. But it has all the earmarks to become that in a tough winter too date. The only thing that brings pause is I have seen alot of these trend south vs north the past couple seasons.
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I read ricky's long term AFD out of LOT this AM. Got to give him credit he always provides a provocative read (for weather enthusiasts) with a good jolt of optimism even in the blandest of weather regimes. Go read it. It just might provide you some hope and lift you out of the post holiday doldrums.
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remember that Halloween snow? Death knell. Never fails.
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prediction: the 18Z NAM still won't matter in the new decade.
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low point.
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at this point I'm all in on "fantasy range big dogs"
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^ agreed. and folks have a great new year!
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initial take; it's too far south
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^ famous last words
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