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Baum

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Everything posted by Baum

  1. Today's 12Z GFS seems to agree.
  2. you mean the alignment where if stalls 20 miles from my backyard? Nice looking run for those in the over running area.
  3. eh. the model arguments are always subjective and actually vary to ones backyard. Yes, there is consensus on a storm, but go read LOT's last two discussions(which are excellent) and that'll detail the different model outcomes. Looked like the 6Z NAM ticked the initial overrunning band further into my neck of the woods. FWIW/
  4. turns out the thread title is quite apropos...model consensus wise.
  5. dueling weather PM AFD's Springfield, IL: "ECMWF AND ITS ENSEMBLES HAVE TRENDED SLIGHTLY SOUTH/COLDER. " Quad Cities: OF NOTE, HOWEVER, IS THE EC ENSEMBLE AVERAGE IS BEGINNING TO SHOW THE MAIN AXIS OF SNOW RETREATING BACK TO THE NORTH,
  6. you mean you think a general 5"-10" event is more likely than a 20"-30" accumulation in the heart of the main band of heavy snow? I'm betting that way as well.
  7. i'd be careful with that.
  8. Good news is something to track. Good news is at this point someone is going to clocked. Good news overunning events even minus a wound up storm generally put down a fairly large swath of frozen precip. Good news a decent shot of vodka cold post storm. Good news for NE IL crew lake enhancement should be on the table. Good news we are not looking at 20 and cloudy for the next 7 days. Good news someone who has not had a decent event in recent years has the potential too.
  9. since we've seen some old time poster re-emerge I'd say a weekend camping with Bowme in Wisky's northwoods. As I recall, you guys always hit it off.
  10. southeast and weaker trend to commence shortly.
  11. if only we could get a Bowme post.
  12. on the back burner it appears until The Great Chicago Lake Effect Event 2022 clears out.
  13. good to see there is some north east ILL action. Too many times SE Wisky gets it when winds have more of a NE bend and than it's the usual NW Indy peeps. Hoping to see some flakeage even this far west. Always nice if we can pull a decent lake event.
  14. interested to see what LOT will do. ..... maybe flip a coin
  15. woah. blast from the past. and same, my friend.
  16. here is your 7 day track: Day 1: Ready to be buried/Love to track Day 2: Models are ugly/ ZZZZZZZZZZZZZ Day 3: Posts Here comes the Rain Again Video Day 4 Euro comin in hot Day 5 Madison Special/ Final call 1.5" Day 6 Posts Vince Mcmahon Meme Day 7 D-Day: Radar looks grim/Gonna bust high/ Quality flakes/Epic on the lakeshore/ Posts photos of buried cars as lake band pivots through/ Quality storm.
  17. Ballsy. I'm fine with taking the ealry shot at a thread but prefrred "Midwest Bomb Cyclone" or "GHD lll the Return"....fear the term "mess" may prove accurate.
  18. might be living the northeast blizzard vicariously through the weather channel this weekend. Sure hope I get to track my own........
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