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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. Brian5671
    I doubt it's a hurricane on the next update....
  2. Brian5671
    Looks intense! LOL
  3. Brian5671
    Friction with the land too coming in at that angle. Michael missed entirely...wonder if the 3K nam is onto that....
  4. Brian5671
    Once it became clear this would not intensify, that took away the poleward option some talked about had that happened. The weaker storm will just cruise NW and into FL. edit-however the 3K nam has a stronger storm further east....
  5. Brian5671
    NAM landfalls a weak storm in SE Florida tomorrow overnight
  6. Brian5671
    that and the shear are likely why this won't develop much more (at least according to today's models)
  7. Brian5671
    running out of time-landfall is tomorrow night...if it LF's on Florida, goodbye to the stronger solutions.
  8. Brian5671
    based on today's runs, locally we probably see a windy nor easter type of storm. Maybe some localized flooding.
  9. Brian5671
    wet stretch on the euro
  10. Brian5671
    Is that even a cane? 1003 MB LOL
  11. Brian5671
    Floyd?
  12. Brian5671
    I think we'll know that answer within the next 24 hrs. Models do sometimes miss instensifications
  13. Brian5671
    LOL-that model is horrid-not sure why it's used for anything let alone tropical systems
  14. Brian5671
    no hurricane has hit this early up here. Closest match was Belle in 1976 which hit on 8/10. (Read elsewhere)
  15. Brian5671
    yep. We have been crushed day after day here. Got 1.5 inches last night while 10 miles north of me was dry. About 11 inches of rain here for the month
  16. Brian5671
    shows you how quickly things change with unpredictable tropical systems...went from Cat 2-3 into NC to weak sauce near FL and then inland up the coast in 12 hrs. Still time for more changes of course...we track
  17. Brian5671
    apparantly the 12zUKie looks similar to the 12z GFS-into FL and then mostly inland once to SC. A non event for us verbatim outside of some heavy rains etc.
  18. Brian5671
    GFS has a western track-brushes FL east coast and then inland for good over SC-not much time over water and thus weak sauce-some quick heavy rains for us and that's it (Verbatim)
  19. Brian5671
    I think this is moving too fast for those amounts-it goes from NC to MA in 24 hrs...that's got to be 35-40 MPH forward speed?
  20. Brian5671
    DCA +2.5 NYC +2.75 BOS +3 ORD +2 ATL +2.5 IAH +1.5 DEN +1 PHX +1 SEA + .5
  21. Brian5671
    11am:
  22. Brian5671
    caught the northern edge of the heavy rains here-picked up a quick inch. Most heavy rains, some rumbles of thunder
  23. Brian5671
    hard to hit FL's east coast from a SE angle. We've seen time and time again that the storm will want to stay offshore...with that said a track into Florida makes this a non event up here outside of some remnant rains
  24. Brian5671
    imagine a storm cutting up the DELMARVA going NW-we'd see some serious winds on that track.
  25. Brian5671
    it just clipped the northeast corner of the island and it was weak, so not much to disrupt anyway. Agree-it could be off to the races tonight/tomorrow
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