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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. Well when you keep weening out over every storm eventually you'll be right.
  2. Good point. Imagine the panic tomorrow if warnings go up for 12-18"+
  3. Is the public really aware of this. I know they generally expect snow just from talking to people but I feel the hype has been far less than the Jan storm.
  4. If it follows that playback then amounts will keep going up until start time
  5. I saw that and was in awe. I don't recall seeing a 60-72 hour ensemble prog that strong. The true scope of what's unfolding may not even be apparent yet if that's correct.
  6. Because it's not done trending yet.
  7. It tends to be more suppressed in general. Odd outputs sometimes. I remember with the Jan storm it kept spewing 3-4" totals over NYC and into my region too vs the 10"+ amounts we got.
  8. Having a 3 day ensemble mean have a 976 low is crazy.
  9. If only it started tomorrow afternoon. Another harrowing day of model runs before the whole picture comes together
  10. I know we always worry about could go wrong but what if the storm is still trending towards a bullseye.
  11. The NAM would be a verified blizzard. It has sustained winds of 30-40 mph with gusts of 60+ pretty far inland.
  12. Plus there's ensemble support. It's a bit early but the GFS has done really well with this, shockingly so. Very consistent too. Broken clock type scenario
  13. Very possible although ensembles suggest a westward lean which could hint at more west trends tonight and tomorrow
  14. Agree, Mt. Holly are the watch happy ones
  15. No watches from Mt. Holly yet. Still on the cusp here. Need another 50 mile west shift. Although they usually hold off until later afternoon
  16. Believe it or not this forum may actually be the most accurate when it comes to the weather. TV news usually lags behind and the stuff on social media & YouTube is mostly an overhyped joke.
  17. They definitely don't especially the closer we get towards spring. We're the crazy ones
  18. Depending on Euro we could see watches late today. All models trending towards a significant (6"+) storm.
  19. Will be looking at GEFS to see if they stay the same or improve
  20. Agreed the surface depiction doesn't capture this as well. Amounts would be higher
  21. Really solid trends right now. Will the GFS hold? Even a slight shift would be ok
  22. I'm by New Brunswick so on the cusp of potentially bigger amounts so let's keep the NW trend going
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