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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    What a crazy evolution that would be. Volatile weather pattern. Will see rapid run to run changes most likely.
  2. SnoSki14
    It's not just bad luck. CC is affecting the weather patterns. This is why the Great lakes storm track has been so dominant and we've had a pacific jet on steroids over the last decade (record warm ssts western Pacific). The classic coastal track and even miller Bs have been practically non-existent for several years now.
  3. SnoSki14
    Wish there weren't so many cooks in the kitchen and we had a clean PNA ridge because that's some explosive potential there.
  4. SnoSki14
    PNA spike is huge but it needs to be sustained. Pacific jet still keeps knocking it down too quickly.
  5. SnoSki14
    Inland runner but there's some big potential there.
  6. SnoSki14
    Definitely pay attention mid month with that big PNA spike. Models trying to nose dive a northern stream disturbance. Miller B potential?
  7. SnoSki14
    Yeah but that's smoothed out. If we sharpen the ridges then it doesn't look so hot. I'll be happy if we get more December type northern stream snows because I don't see any coastals in our future sadly Very toasty week coming up. Mostly 50s
  8. SnoSki14
    Hopefully it's more of a thaw than a long term break
  9. SnoSki14
    EPS would still set up a nice 2nd half after the thaw and honestly given the cold, snowy December it tracks. But of course we can't underestimate the northern stream either.
  10. SnoSki14
    We managed a very solid, wintry month. January ain't looking too great but who knows how it'll turn out Models change on a dime with how volatile the pattern is
  11. SnoSki14
    Well at least we had one snowy, wintry month this winter. Because January ain't looking so great
  12. SnoSki14
    The warm anomalies are so much more expansive and anomalous compared to the colder ones.
  13. SnoSki14
    Some nice potential from off hour gfs op. A bit suppressed but it's nice to see snowy solutions showing. Best to take it one day at a time though otherwise you'll drive yourself nuts.
  14. SnoSki14
    EPS looks really good Jan 5 onward.
  15. SnoSki14
    I'm very cautious about a huge snowy pattern but even I recognize this post as BS. How in the world do the ensembles look like trash 240+ If anything they're showing a rising PNA ridge. I think this post is just as deluded as the social media weenie blizzard posts from JB The 12z EPS looks pretty awesome to me actually. There's some big dog potential second week of Jan.
  16. SnoSki14
    We've heard all that before. One day at a time
  17. SnoSki14
    If I had an inch for every "potential" in the last decade my house would be buried under 30 feet of snow drifts. Latest EPS looks really good though, not gonna lie
  18. SnoSki14
    GFS wasn't abysmal. It just didn't handle the warm layers properly which it never does. That's where the Nam comes in.
  19. SnoSki14
    I wonder if ocean effect can ever produce a real snowstorm (6"+) in this region
  20. SnoSki14
    Which means we should get 30-40"+ for the season
  21. SnoSki14
    That's a common snowy time frame too.
  22. SnoSki14
    Interesting to see if that works out. Pattern does have potential heading forward
  23. SnoSki14
    So the no 4" streak is officially over then
  24. SnoSki14
    Because it's not linear or evenly spread out plus it's weather vs climate. Look at the grand scope and you'll see warmth dominate over both a larger area and time frame. For example despite December being cold in the northeast US it absolutely torched for 2/3 of the country with record breaking all time December warmth in many spots.
  25. SnoSki14
    So according to the stats of a Nina December, the rest of winter should be pretty good.
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