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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. One run of the Nam had me at 3 total and I'm approaching 4
  2. Still looks to come in around 2PM but due to high initial ratios and the heavy incoming thump we're more likely to approach double digits
  3. With the current high ratios I think 10-12" is in the cards
  4. Yeah I don't think we'll see a delay in the changeover but that initial thump may end up being better than expected for some. Already 3" in Somerset
  5. HRRR also ramping up the pre sleet amounts.
  6. Everything covered and snowing heavy with that band in Somerset
  7. Those few hours before the change look so intense. I really think with ratios we could be pushing 3"+ an hour.
  8. How's the Nam performing so far to our SW? That'll give you an idea if it's correct or not
  9. I suspect we'll be fighting off sleet for a while as long as precip comes down heavily.
  10. Which should tell how of crappy it really is. Also crazy how SNE could score 2'+ amounts with this when they thought it was gonna be suppressed
  11. Looks like highs today will stay in the teens
  12. Loving my 6-10" call from a few days ago. Obviously areas not far north will have more but looking good right now
  13. It's not an apples to apples comparison for us though though sure there's some reason to be skeptical of its output
  14. Yeah my area might get 2"+ of sleet accumulation on top of 5-6" of snow. That's a very big deal and temps stay several degrees below freezing Will be an absolute nightmare to deal with though. Clearing that stuff out will suck
  15. Definitely not. The combination of snow/sleet + cold temps are definitely warning criteria. In many ways the ice component will make this worse than a standard 1 foot snowstorm
  16. Yeah I'm leaning lower. I think ratios and thump still gets us several inches but it's clearly trending less and less. Under 6" honestly wouldn't surprise me now
  17. If you're a fan of long lasting snow cover then sleet will encase the snow and it's gonna last a long time
  18. I think pretty much everyone will see 7-8" with the thump. The wall of snow to sleet idea is playing out as expected. Now it's just about timing. The longer we hold off the transition, the more snow we get. Even a 2-3 hr delay could mean the difference between 7" and 10"+
  19. 6z Nam looks a lot better than 0z...much more in line with other models
  20. Adjusted WSW to 7-13 now which I completely agree with. Front end thump will bring the goods followed by sleet/ZR. It's gonna be a mess 6z HRRR showing that crazy front end dump. Big improvement over 0z
  21. I'll give what it shows tomorrow a lot more weight than tonight but it's great at picking up warm layers so we can't discount it
  22. Yeah so much for suppression fears Trough out west was a big red flag for this.
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