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Ephesians2

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  1. Ephesians2
    Me. Currently 56/27 after a high of 63. But in all seriousness I hope this works out well for you all. I love heavy, wet snow that sticks to everything. Reminds me of the January 2022 storm, during which I was in Fredericksburg, VA.
  2. Ephesians2
    I just have the feeling this one has high bust potential, especially down here in Central VA. Richmond has a better shot than I do, but personally I would be mildly surprised if I got a coating on the grass. Hopefully we can get at least a transient colder pattern in march. March 2013 and 2014 both had wet snow late into the month. It looks like we will have a milder regime the first week of march, but after that maybe we can reshuffle and get one last shot.
  3. Ephesians2
    Steam rising from the car and pavement this morning ... sun angle?
  4. Ephesians2
    Well, it would probably double most people's snow climo, right... ?
  5. Ephesians2
    Pretty much all done with the snow/sleet pack down here.
  6. Ephesians2
    With such a small sample size I doubt there's much of a relationship here. Does the first image look much different from a Nino composite?
  7. Ephesians2
    I just want 2-4" of wet snow, the kind that sticks to all the trees, and we can call it a winter. I had three separate "Trace" events this past week, plus the 0.2" last weekend. Overall it's been a pretty good winter though.
  8. Ephesians2
    06z NAM
  9. Ephesians2
    Yeah models are looking surprisingly decent for tomorrow for Central VA. Both NAM and HRRR have at least 0.10" QPF. Might be nice for areas that missed out on the last two threats
  10. Ephesians2
  11. Ephesians2
    I got a trace of sleet on the sidewalk overnight
  12. Ephesians2
    now all rain
  13. Ephesians2
    started as sleet here in Lynchburg a few minutes ago, 35 degrees
  14. Ephesians2
    Anyone have the 18z Euro/Euro AI?
  15. Ephesians2
    Yeah the follow up wave is our only shot at our latitude This is the type of thing that can trend north and juice up in the short-medium range, though, imo. Might get a 1-3" deal out of it.
  16. Ephesians2
    01.31.2026 - 0.2" Total 12.7"
  17. Ephesians2
    reports of 6-12 inches just 50 miles to my south current total: 0.2" oh well I was so close
  18. Ephesians2
    yeah, but just barely. it's actually been snowing at incredibly slow rates since about 7:00 this morning. Only a dusting though, it's just been that dry.
  19. Ephesians2
    yeah... we were so close now watch whatever happens middle of next week be a DC-Baltimore special and miss us by the same amount to the north at least we got the December events!
  20. Ephesians2
    Yes, slightly so. Not what we need in Central VA but it is so, so close.
  21. Ephesians2
    For RIC it has 7" of snow on 0.2" precip But where it is REALLY broken is along the northwest fringe, as you can see there is basically no QPF but the NBM is still showing accumulating snow.
  22. Ephesians2
    the NBM is unfortunately broken. its ratios are wildly overstated - I know there have been discussions of 15-20:1 ratios, but the ratios the NBM uses at least on the weatherbell maps are like 40:1, 50:1, or even more in some situations
  23. Ephesians2
    It's trended NW a bit with the upper low. the problem is we have other features trending in the wrong direction
  24. Ephesians2
    It would seem like suppression is not the concern if that depiction holds. This week we have a strong PNA ridge. Not the case in that map.
  25. Ephesians2
    We are so close in Central VA to either a near total whiff or a widespread warning level event.
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