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Ephesians2

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Everything posted by Ephesians2

  1. It does come up the coast after that, but doesn't really get going enough until it is well offshore. Definitely in line with trends we have been seeing tonight.
  2. UKMET is losing most of the northern component to the low - it's a weaker and further south storm for sure. Surface low in the Gulf of Mexico at 96. It'll be a moderate hit for Richmond and Hampton Roads though.
  3. UKMET is definitely less amped than 12z (which was the furthest north and west, so that might not mean much). Also seeing the PV significantly south of 12z at 81.
  4. sorry, was looking at 10:1 so understated totals
  5. GFS is still pretty progressive, dry, and fast. The jackpot of 6-10" is from Richmond to the southern Delmarva. Looks like it's slightly better than the last run for Hampton Roads.
  6. Not seeing huge changes on the GFS out to 84
  7. If I am not mistaken, every single model has the biggest snow in 6-7 years for Central VA.
  8. I think there's a model we forgot to check. Totally real guys.
  9. 2/11/2025 - 4.0 (3.25" snow + 0.75" sleet) Total: 9.0"
  10. 3.25" in Lynchburg, VA with light snow.
  11. Starting to come down nicely in Lynchburg.
  12. Honestly close to what I'm expecting. This feels like a clone of the early Jan event.
  13. From the main thread. Of course, they were not happy about it, but looks like an improvement for Central VA. Hopefully the NAM improves as well.
  14. We aren't really losing the big storms, just the light and moderate ones. That seems like the real problem. There have been much larger intervals without an 18"+ or 12"+ storm. https://www.weather.gov/lwx/winter_storm-pr
  15. https://x.com/PaulRoundy1/status/1887466049462739029
  16. All rain down here at 33 degrees, but just woke up to some LOUD thunder and lightning.
  17. Where is that chart on the NWS website? Thanks!
  18. NAM made a big jump North for the Sunday storm.
  19. https://x.com/webberweather/status/1880316868277465119
  20. ICON is a quick hitting 2-4" for Central VA. South of 12z.
  21. Unfortunately I think this is the type of event that tends to trend northwest. But maybe this year is an exception.
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