Ephesians2

Euro had something similar but further south Seems like a weak wave developing along the boundary from Thursdays front.

Let's keep it right where it is ... Although there's something to be said for sleet, in that it keeps snowpack around for a while. I got 4" snow and sleet in Jan 2022, and it stuck around for two weeks. Also the last two runs of the (fantasy range) NAM have shown a weak disturbance bringing some snow to the VA/NC border and north on Friday. There was some support for the idea on the Euro, otherwise I wouldn't be talking about it @BornAgain13

Last two runs of the (FANTASY RANGE) NAM have shown a disturbance to our south on Friday. There was some support for the idea on the Euro too.

also I have 8" on the year and you all have maybe half that, so the likely north trend = reversion to the mean

I'd be okay with a sleetfest here in Central VA, as long as we get warning level snow first. Would be great to keep the snowpack around as long as possible.

We need this trend to stop soon

"Snow likely" 5 days out is rare.

Disclaimer: I'm not the expert at upper level analysis by any means [Edited to remove a sentence that demonstrated that fact] But this doesn't look quite like the "HECS" look that supports a low that strong though its a very good pattern This is -EPO, -NAO, with a neutral looking PNA with the ridge offshore. The -EPO delivers arctic air while the -NAO stops the storm from cutting NW. This looks like it would support, at the upper potential, an overrunning event like Jan 2010 or... Dec 2018 (you all would love that if it had been 100 miles north) with widespread double digits totals, but not the 18-24"+ totals that would be "historic".

6z Euro at 144

12.12.2025 T 01.03.2026 T 01.17.2026 0.1 Total 8.2"

Getting some Snow TV with this band.

This was unexpected to wake up to

GEFS is northwest of 12z and wetter: (DCA went from 1.2" mean to 2.3") There are also some members more amped than the op:

Chance of a light event for Saturday is still alive

It's within striking distance for DC south, we just need temperatures to trend down a few degrees

Sorry if this has already been posted here.

Weekend slider is trending closer to something, though temps are really iffy.

Average Facebook weather post

PDO looks much improved from the fall.

Models are trending towards bringing a band of snow through your area overnight/early morning. I'm probably too far west to get in on it even if it keeps trending south/west with the precip, but I hope the RIC contingent can get in on accumulating snow a third time this year:

Might be controversial, but I'd rather have this than cold without snow

NWS issued a WWA for me for 1-3", and based on guidance it would be a mild surprise if I even see a coating tomorrow.