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Ephesians2

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Everything posted by Ephesians2

  1. I've had steady accumulating light snow even under the bad returns now that the column is saturated. 1.25" in Lynchburg.
  2. Steady light snow in Lynchburg for about the past hour and a half. Probably about 0.5" on the ground.
  3. Short range models have been reducing totals for our area most of today, unfortunately. Still hope I can get 3 inches out of it.
  4. wasn't that what the GFS was doing to this weekend's storm at this range?
  5. but if the GFS is right, it'll be "suppressed" (good for me), not flip to rain, which is what you said if I recall correctly
  6. https://x.com/ManleyWeather/status/1876247084225183825
  7. City of Lynchburg, VA 01/05/2025 - 2.5" snow + sleet
  8. Temps at 30-31 and heavy precip limited ice accretion overnight - probably about 0.25" of ZR on top of what was (prior to compaction) more or less 3" of snow and sleet. Looks pretty though.
  9. Cleared off the snow board -- 2.25" in Lynchburg before the flip to sleet. It'll be interesting to see how much pure sleet I get overnight.
  10. Does anyone have total sleet and freezing rain maps for the HRRR?
  11. Flipped to sleet in Lynchburg. Some of the short range models are showing two inches of sleet here.
  12. mixing with sleet under lighter returns but still 50/50 snow/sleet.
  13. Rates and flake size picking up in Lynchburg. About 2" on the ground.
  14. I like the West to East trajectory of this band for Central VA. It's not super heavy - but accumulating nicely. 1.3" in Lynchburg.
  15. Just measured 0.75" in Lynchburg. Steady light/moderate snow with decent size flakes.
  16. After a couple hours of virga and flurries, light snow has begun in Lynchburg.
  17. Webcams from SW/Southside VA: https://www.wsls.com/weather/skycams/ Snow already accumulating in Martinsville and Blacksburg.
  18. Purely anecdotal, but ... my fiancée says it's snowing lightly in Winston-Salem, NC. Was supposed to be all rain for them.
  19. Initial wave of precipitation looks heavier and further south than modeled - moving due west to east. From a Roanoke/Lynchburg page:
  20. RNK's map had you starting at 3-5 and me at 5-7. Looks like precip is moving in more quickly than anticipated.
  21. 37/7 in Lynchburg. Clouds thickening to the West.
  22. Huge divergence between NAM and HRRR QPF for Central VA. NAM cut QPF in half versus its last run.
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