Ephesians2

I'd be okay with a sleetfest here in Central VA, as long as we get warning level snow first. Would be great to keep the snowpack around as long as possible.

We need this trend to stop soon

"Snow likely" 5 days out is rare.

Disclaimer: I'm not the expert at upper level analysis by any means [Edited to remove a sentence that demonstrated that fact] But this doesn't look quite like the "HECS" look that supports a low that strong though its a very good pattern This is -EPO, -NAO, with a neutral looking PNA with the ridge offshore. The -EPO delivers arctic air while the -NAO stops the storm from cutting NW. This looks like it would support, at the upper potential, an overrunning event like Jan 2010 or... Dec 2018 (you all would love that if it had been 100 miles north) with widespread double digits totals, but not the 18-24"+ totals that would be "historic".

6z Euro at 144

12.12.2025 T 01.03.2026 T 01.17.2026 0.1 Total 8.2"

Getting some Snow TV with this band.

This was unexpected to wake up to

GEFS is northwest of 12z and wetter: (DCA went from 1.2" mean to 2.3") There are also some members more amped than the op:

Chance of a light event for Saturday is still alive

It's within striking distance for DC south, we just need temperatures to trend down a few degrees

Sorry if this has already been posted here.

Weekend slider is trending closer to something, though temps are really iffy.

Average Facebook weather post

PDO looks much improved from the fall.

Models are trending towards bringing a band of snow through your area overnight/early morning. I'm probably too far west to get in on it even if it keeps trending south/west with the precip, but I hope the RIC contingent can get in on accumulating snow a third time this year:

Might be controversial, but I'd rather have this than cold without snow

NWS issued a WWA for me for 1-3", and based on guidance it would be a mild surprise if I even see a coating tomorrow.

Looks like this storm is pretty much gone on most of the models. Oh well.

12.08.2025 4.7" Total 8.1"

Storm total - 4.7" Measured 4.3" around 5:45 and an additional 0.3-0.4" since then. Snow depth is between 4 and 5 inches depending on where I measure, maybe a bit more in the grass. What a wonderful snow day.

This was the vibe: I really, genuinely hope you all get this type of event this month. Also, we can get back to our specialty down here - sleet and freezing rain