Jump to content

Ephesians2

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    573

  • Joined

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Ephesians2

  1. Ephesians2
    Cleared off the snow board -- 2.25" in Lynchburg before the flip to sleet. It'll be interesting to see how much pure sleet I get overnight.
  2. Ephesians2
    Does anyone have total sleet and freezing rain maps for the HRRR?
  3. Ephesians2
    Flipped to sleet in Lynchburg. Some of the short range models are showing two inches of sleet here.
  4. Ephesians2
    mixing with sleet under lighter returns but still 50/50 snow/sleet.
  5. Ephesians2
    Rates and flake size picking up in Lynchburg. About 2" on the ground.
  6. Ephesians2
    I like the West to East trajectory of this band for Central VA. It's not super heavy - but accumulating nicely. 1.3" in Lynchburg.
  7. Ephesians2
  8. Ephesians2
    Just measured 0.75" in Lynchburg. Steady light/moderate snow with decent size flakes.
  9. Ephesians2
    After a couple hours of virga and flurries, light snow has begun in Lynchburg.
  10. Ephesians2
    Webcams from SW/Southside VA: https://www.wsls.com/weather/skycams/ Snow already accumulating in Martinsville and Blacksburg.
  11. Ephesians2
    Purely anecdotal, but ... my fiancée says it's snowing lightly in Winston-Salem, NC. Was supposed to be all rain for them.
  12. Ephesians2
    Initial wave of precipitation looks heavier and further south than modeled - moving due west to east. From a Roanoke/Lynchburg page:
  13. Ephesians2
  14. Ephesians2
    RNK's map had you starting at 3-5 and me at 5-7. Looks like precip is moving in more quickly than anticipated.
  15. Ephesians2
    37/7 in Lynchburg. Clouds thickening to the West.
  16. Ephesians2
    Huge divergence between NAM and HRRR QPF for Central VA. NAM cut QPF in half versus its last run.
  17. Ephesians2
    RGEM ticks to the south and bumps up QPF - 11.1" at RIC on Kuchera. It's a tight gradient just south of there though.
  18. Ephesians2
    NAM was showing basically nothing 24 hours ago, right? Also, from what I've heard it tends to have a north bias. I think it's an improvement and definitely better than where we thought it be going a couple of days ago. 2-4" with some sleet and ZR will stick around a while with the advertised temperatures. I got 4" with the second Jan 2022 storm, including an inch of sleet, and it stuck around for two weeks with warmer temperatures than what we are seeing on models.
  19. Ephesians2
    Jan 2019 seems the closest, at least that I can think of. https://www.stmweather.com/blog/current-events/winter-storm-january-11-13-2019
  20. Ephesians2
    I was in Fredericksburg for Jan 2022 and got 15". Other than that, the only 10"+ storm I remember clearly is the 2016 blizzard. I have very vague glimpses of the 2009-2010 winter despite being 7 years old then, because I was a weather nerd, my parents got me a 3-year weather observation book for my 7th birthday
  21. Ephesians2
    CMC is a step in the right direction as well. Confluence further south. Snow jackpot and QPF max now over Fredericksburg, not DC. Verbatim, not exactly what we want in Central VA, but it's an improvement - the 6" line is roughly from Charlottesville to Hanover County. I'm liking these trends.
  22. Ephesians2
    GFS went slightly south. Not exactly where we want it - but an appreciable shift.
  23. Ephesians2
    FWIW ... map from local Lynchburg TV meteorologists
  24. Ephesians2
    The GFS does not cave. Going to be virtually identical to 12z. Also significantly drier than other models.
  25. Ephesians2
    On the other hand, the RGEM looks like a *slight* step back, but basically unchanged (mostly sleet/ice with 1-3" in Central VA). It's a DC/NoVA jackpot with the 6" line near Fredericksburg
×
×
  • Create New...