Ephesians2

I like the "wiggle room" for central VA. Even if that shifted north it wouldn't be a total bust, more like a 2-4" deal. Which is not bad after the last couple of winters.

RGEM is pretty good for central VA. So far NAM is the only model with a total shutout. Hopefully it stays that way.

It's no big deal, it looks nice further north. Just not good for central VA.

The NAM took away virtually all of my snow Euro shows 6-12" for SW and parts of central VA while ... practically nothing on the NAM.

Looks like a small but noticeable shift here

NAM/Euro/CMC are beautiful here (Lynchburg). 6-8"+ of snow falling with cold temperatures, maybe a brief period of sleet/freezing rain, and no rain to wash it away.

Around 10:30.

Light coating on grassy surfaces with moderate snow ongoing. It took about an hour of light/moderate snow falling without accumulation before it started to stick.

GFS at 84 - low in central IL with heavy snow breaking out in SW VA

GFS appears weaker.

132 ... storm stalled at the mouth of the Chesapeake - sleet along 95 with heavy snow west

Looks slightly west of where we would want it along 95, but still a major event for virtually the entire region.

Sleet to EZF at 120... moderate snow over DC/NOVA and central/north MD

Last night's Euro was great for Central VA, but not as much DC/MD if I recall correctly. Wouldn't a slight/moderate shift north be good for most of the forum?

Slight movement north

Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1039 AM EST Wed Jan 27 2021 MDZ016-017-VAZ052-055-056-502-280130- Charles-St. Marys-Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Stafford- Spotsylvania-Southern Fauquier- Including the cities of St. Charles, Waldorf, Lexington Park, California, Dale City, Manassas, Woodbridge, Lake Ridge, Montclair, Falmouth, Fredericksburg, and Turnbull 1039 AM EST Wed Jan 27 2021 ...POTENTIAL WINTER COMMUTING HAZARD FOR THE FAR SOUTHERN SUBURBS OF WASHINGTON DC THURSDAY MORNING... There is a potential for hazardous commuting conditions for the Thursday morning commute. A period of snow showers is POSSIBLE Thursday morning across the far southern suburbs of Washington DC. A light coating of snow is possible on area roads and sidewalks. IF this threat materializes during the Thursday morning rush- hour, many roads could quickly turn icy. This could lead to dangerous traveling conditions, multiple accidents, and extensive delays. If commuting Thursday morning, be aware of the POSSIBILITY of significant travel disruptions. Plan ahead by allowing for extra travel time, and consider using telework options. Stay tuned for updates on this potential winter weather episode.

Forecasts for today in Lynchburg ranged from 57-62 a couple days ago. It barely got over 40 today with persistent low cloudcover.

Love it. it can stay right where it is though ... don't want to wake up to 34 degree rain in Lynchburg on Thursday morning with 6" on the ground back home.

GFS looks way south and weaker ...

I'd take that, especially since I will be in Lynchburg on the 28th.

GFS is going to be great for central/southern VA

1-2" according to the NAM here for Friday. A light event would be really nice, but honestly I don't expect anything.

Still freezing rain with a few pellets of sleet ... pretty noticable icing on trees.

A few flakes mixing in. Mostly sleet.